Virgin Islands Still Hasn’t Finished Counting Votes; Write-ins For Senator Alicia Hansen Slow the Process

This story says that Virgin Islands election officials haven’t finished counting ballots. One reason the process is taking longer is because there are many write-in votes for State Senator Alicia “Chucky” Hansen, an incumbent who was removed from the ballot by the Virgin Islands Supreme Court on October 24. Hansen supporters printed up stickers and distributed them to voters. Most states no longer permit stickers. A “sticker” is a type of write-in, in which the voter glues a sticker to the ballot instead of literally writing in the name of the candidate.

Hansen was removed from the ballot because ten years ago, she had not filed territorial income tax returns. The Governor had pardoned her earlier this year, and a federal court had ruled she should be on the ballot, and she had been on the ballot in each of the past two previous elections. But that didn’t stop the Virgin Islands Supreme Court from removing her. The Virgin Islands charter says the legislature shall be the “sole” judge of the qualifications of its members, but that didn’t phase the Virgin Islands Supreme Court either.

Connecticut Working Families Party Just Barely Retains Third Line on Ballot

Connecticut, like New York, uses party column ballots, and determines the order of parties on the ballot by their gubernatorial vote. At the November 4, 2014 election, the vote for Governor of Connecticut was: Democratic 528,669 (48.64%); Republican 500,329 (46.03%); Working Families 23,684 (2.18%); Independent Party 22,878 (2.10%); independent candidate Joe Visconti 11,337 (1.04%).

The Working Families Party has enjoyed the third line on Connecticut ballots for the last four years, but the Independent Party this week almost displaced it to the fourth line.

The Republican Party has had the top line for the past four years, but as a result of this week’s election, it slips to the second line.

In the 2010 election, the Working Families Party got 2.30%. Both in 2010 and 2014, it cross-endorsed the Democratic nominee, Dannel Malloy. In 2010 the Independent Party had run its own nominee, Thomas E. Marsh, who had received 1.54%. In 2014 the Independent Party cross-endorsed the Republican nominee.

Minor Party and Independent Vote for Office at Top of Ticket in 2014 was Lower than in Recent Past Midterm Elections

Based on preliminary election returns, it appears the percentage of the vote in the November 2014 election for independent and minor party candidates, for the office at the top of the ballot, was 4.4%.

By contrast, in 2010 it was 5.4%; in 2006 it was 5.0%; in 2002, it was 5.3%; in 1998, it was 4.9%; in 1994, it was 4.5%; in 1990, it was 4.6%; in 1986 it was 3.6%. But in 1982, it was only 1.8%, and in 1978 and 1974 it was only 2.4%.

The chief reason the 2014 “other” vote for the office at the top of the ballot was lower than in recent past midterm elections is that California and Washington did not let voters cast an “other” vote in November 2014. California and Washington together comprise one-eighth of the nation.

In November 2010, California voters cast 539,645 votes for “other” candidates for Governor, but in November 2014, there were zero such votes, due to California’s having switched to the top-two system starting in 2011. Naturally, with such a drastic change in California, the national percentage for “other” was significantly lowered.

A note on methodology: These calculations exclude scattering write-in votes, and exclude votes for “None of these candidates” in Nevada. These calculations include votes cast on minor party lines for the top office to be “other” votes, even if the particular minor party cross-endorsed a major party nominee.

Top office on the ballot means Governor, for states that elect Governors in midterm years. For those that don’t, it means U.S. Senate. For the handful of states each year in which neither Governor nor U.S. Senate is up, it means the office actually at the top of the ballot.

Useful Compilation “An Overview of 2014 Libertarian Gubernatorial Candidate Results” by Matthew Reece

Matthew Reece has published this useful article, “An Overview of 2014 Libertarian Gubernatorial Candidate Results.” Although the article was published the day after the election, so that the vote totals are already somewhat out-of-date, the article is very useful because it contains the poll results for almost all of the Libertarian gubernatorial candidates. Thus, it is possible for the reader to compare the poll results with the actual election returns.

There is a consistent pattern that the actual election returns, in all cases, are below what the polls had predicted.

Reece appears to have erroneously omitted a paragraph for Wyoming.

Pennsylvania Files Briefs in Both Ballot Access Cases

Recently, Pennsylvania state officials filed briefs in each of the two pending ballot access cases. Here is the brief in Constitution Party of Pennsylvania v Aichele, a case over the Pennsylvania system of putting petitioning groups at risk of paying court costs of up to $110,000 if they submit a petition that lacks enough signatures.

Here is the brief in Green Party of Pennsylvania v Aichele, which challenges many other ballot access laws, including the ban on out-of-state circulators. Both cases are in U.S. District Court in the eastern district. Each case has a separate judge.