Political Science Blog Carries Discussion of Possible Split in Republican Party

The Mischiefs of Faction, a political science blog about political parties, has this piece by Professor Seth Masket about the possibility that the Republican Party might split and a new party might emerge. Masket does not think this is likely, at least in the short term, but it is interesting that he even wrote about the idea.

If the founders of Americans Elect had done what they could to keep their party on the ballot in the 29 states in which it qualified in 2012, that might have been the genesis for a new major party. It is still qualified in California and four other states, but if it doesn’t increase its registration in California by the beginning of 2014, it will lose its spot on the ballot in that state. The drive to put the party on the California ballot required 1,030,040 valid signatures, and probably cost $2,500,000.

New South Dakota Registration Data

The South Dakota Secretary of State has released new registration data, as of October 1. The new percentages are: Republican 45.69%, Democratic 35.21%, independent 18.79%, Libertarian .24%, Constitution .072%. There are six registered members of Americans Elect.

At the August 1 tally, the percentages were: Republican 45.77%, Democratic 35.49%, independent 18.44%, Libertarian .23%, Constitution .069%. There were also six Americans Elect members at that tally.

Virginia Democratic Party Files Lawsuit to Stop Purge of Voters

The deadline for registering to vote in Virginia’s November 5, 2013 election is Monday, October 14. Meanwhile, the State Board of Elections has obtained a list of 77,000 Virginia voters that allegedly are also registered voters in some other state. The State Board has asked the various County and Independent City Boards to remove these voters from the rolls before the upcoming election.

On October 1, the Democratic Party filed a federal lawsuit to stop the purge, until after the election. The lawsuit alleges that the list has many errors. The lawsuit also points out that federal law does not permit purges to occur closer than 90 days before an election, although that law only relates to federal elections, not elections for state office. Finally, the lawsuit says that a large proportion of the voters on the list registered in some other state as long ago as ten years, and that the same voters moved to Virginia after that time. The case is Democratic Party of Virginia v Virginia State Board of Elections, eastern district, 1:13cv-1218. Here is the Complaint.

Virginia TV Station that is Co-Hosting Gubernatorial Debate Hints that 10% Standard is Unreasonable, but Says its Hands are Tied

The Virginia gubernatorial debate being held on October 24 is jointly sponsored by WDBJ7, and the Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University (known as Virginia Tech).

WDBJ7 is sending an automated response to people who advocate that the debate include Rob Sarvis. It says, “Thank you for your interest in the debate. The guidelines for the debate were negotiated by the two major party candidates. WDBJ7 originally recommended that the door be opened and a reasonable threshold be set for Mr. Sarvis to participate. I believe no other debate organizers had even given him that opportunity. The particulars of the language were negotiated by the major party candidates. Once the agreements were signed, WDBJ7 was bound by the rules or risked losing the opportunity for the voters of Virginia to hear any of the office seekers debate the issues.”

SDBJ7 has a story on Sarvis’ reaction to being excluded from the only remaining debate.

The webpage of Virginia Tech does not appear to discuss the October 2013 debate. Virginia Tech has hosted general election debates in the past, including the US Senate debate of 2012, in which only the two major parties appeared on the ballot.

UPDATE: here is an account of the major party gubernatorial debate held October 10.

New York City Mayoral Poll

Marist Polls has released a poll of the New York city Mayoral race: Bill deBlasio 67%, Joe Lhota 23%, Independence Party nominee Adolfo Carrion 2%, others 1%, undecided 7%.

When all fifteen candidates are listed, the only candidates who have as much as 1%, other than the three listed above, are Jack Hidary and Michael Greys. Hidary is an independent candidate whose label is Jobs and Education. Greys is the nominee of the Freedom Party, which was formed in 2011 by City Councilmember Charles Barron. Thanks to PoliticalWire for the link.