On October 18, a Hendrix College Poll was rekeased for the Arkansas gubernatorial race was released, showing Libertarian Party nominee Colt Shelby at 11%. See here. While it is normal for minor party and independent candidates to do better in polls than in the actual election, the poll certainly tends to show that Shelby will receive at least 3%. If he does, that will be the first time the Arkansas Libertarian Party will have met the vote test to retain its qualified status. Parties must poll 3% for Governor in midterm years, and 3% for President in presidential years, to remain on the ballot. Although the Libertarian Party general gets far more than 3% for some statewide races, it has never managed to get 3% for Governor.
A Bellwether Poll released October 16 says the Libertarian nominee for Secretary of State is at 6%, whereas the Lincoln Party is at 5%. See this story. If the actual results are similar, this will give Indiana two ballot-qualified minor parties for the period 2027-2031. A party needs 2% for Secretary of State to be ballot-qualified.
The last time Indiana had two qualified minor parties was 1982-1986, when the American Party and the Libertarian Party were qualified. Back then, the vote test was one-half of 1%, not 2%.
On October 14, U.S. District Court Judge Benita Y. Pearson, an Obama appointee, upheld the 2021 law that said Ohio general election ballots should carry the party labels of candidates for State Supreme Court Justice. Brunner v LaRose, n.d., 4:23cv-2180. Ohio has long held partisan primaries for Supreme Court elections. But until 2021, even though the parties had nominees for that office, the law didn’t allow the party label on the November ballot for those elections.
The plaintiff, Jennifer Brunner, is a Democratic Ohio Supreme Court Justice running for re-election next month. She filed the lawsuit in 2023. An irony is that this year, Democrats in Ohio are leading their Republican opponents for Governor and U.S. Senator. So it is somewhat plausible that Brunner will have an easier path to re-election because “Democrat” will now be next to her name on the November ballot.
On October 17, the Boston Globe endorsed Question Three, the top-two initiative. See the editorial here.
The incumbent Sheriff of Lee County, Alabama, Jay Jones, was defeated in the Republican primary in May by a margin of 49%-51%. But he recently decided to run a write-in campaign in the November election. Only one name is on the ballot. See this story.