The Pew Research Center released a 4-candidate presidential poll on October 28. Among registered voters, the results are: Obama 52%, McCain 36%, Nader 3%, Barr 1%, other and undecided 8%.
Among the 15% of respondents who say they have already voted, the only results given are Obama 53%, McCain 34%. That leaves 13% unaccounted for, and they couldn’t be “undecided”, since they already voted. See here for all the results.
That leaves 13% unaccounted for, and they couldn’t be “undecidedâ€, since they already voted.
October surprise… 13% wrote in Ron Paul… FTW!!!
3 million for Nader if this so , I hope it is true.
3 million for Nader if this so , I hope it is true.
THAT’S what I call the audacity of hope…
Any word on what Zogby is reporting on third party candidates?
There were 122,295,345 valid votes cast for president in 2004. This year there will probably be 135,000,000 at least. So 3% this year is likely to be 4,000,000 votes, and 1% would be probably 1,350,000.
Well, I’ve already voted, and I voted for Nader, so there’s part of that unaccounted for vote.
My vote was for Nader-Gonzalez also!
I’d say 2.5 million votes for Nader and anything over 1 million for Barr would be a pair of successes for the third party movement.
Plus, I am betting the Constitution Party gets its biggest vote ever. I am thinking the CP cracks about 800,000. Is that its highest yet?
The third party losers? Definitely McKinney. Her campaign is languishing and imploding it seems. Poor ballot access, not much visibility, few Internet fanboys.
But Cynthia McKinney is on the ballot in front of quite a few more voters than Chuck Baldwin is.
Good point. I just don’t see her competing with Nader well for votes. Those who want to vote 3rd party will often vote Nader for name recognition and a modicum of moderation(at least in perspective of a voter; I will not argue if it is true or not). Simply put, I think the call to build the Green Party isn’t enough the fill the vote coffers this year by McKinney’s name.
I see about as many McKinney supporters as Nader supporters at left-leaning websites/blogs/forums. While I think that Nader will get more votes than McKinney, she will definitely do better than David Cobb. He was the Green Party’s 2004 presidential candidate who got around 119,000 votes.
I voted Nader/Gonzalez as well. Mailed in my ballot last week.
would be interesting, how the 13% apply to some swing states … e.g. if a high number of libertarian/populist/rightwing fruitcake votes will enable Obama to win e.g. North Dakota or Montana
I don’t doubt that Nader will do much better than McKinney, but much of that has to do with Nader’s celebrity, long track record, being on 45 vs. 32 ballots, and his phenomenal name recognition. McKinney is appealing to a very different part of the electorate, emphasizing very different issues, and what we see on the ground among her supporters are people who are not at all interested in Nader. They’d either vote for Obama or not vote at all. I think if some enterprising grad student or political scientist does research after the election on this subject, the stark differences in appeal between the Nader campaign and the McKinney campaign will become rather obvious. Even Ralph Nader himself has been saying since day one that there is room for both of these campaigns and nothing I’ve seen on the ground (and I’m running a Green Party Congressional campaign fulltime, seven days a week) has contradicted that.
i mailed in my ballot two weeks ago for McKinney myself.
wow few times I agree word by word with someone, but I agree totally with Danny when he said:
“I’d say 2.5 million votes for Nader and anything over 1 million for Barr would be a pair of successes for the third party movement.
Plus, I am betting the Constitution Party gets its biggest vote ever. I am thinking the CP cracks about 800,000. Is that its highest yet?
The third party losers? Definitely McKinney. Her campaign is languishing and imploding it seems. Poor ballot access, not much visibility, few Internet fanboys.”
Ralph Nader entered this race late and without being part of an established Party such as the GREENS he went from 0 ballots to 45 ballots + DC which is quite amazing.
Ralph has particpated in debates, ran radio ads, beat a World Guiness Record and traveled all 50 states as promised.
You gotta take hats off to a man who has dedicaed his whole life to fighting for the people.
His record of accomplishments is un-matched.
He truly has earned my vote