As soon as the November 2, 2010 election has been held, the Democratic Party of Washington state, and the Republican Party of Washington state, will no longer be ballot-qualified.  This is because the law defines a ballot-qualified party as one that polled 5% of the vote for any statewide race at the last election, for any of its nominees.  But under the state’s top-two system, which went into effect in 2008, parties won’t have nominees, except for President.

The two major parties in Washington each got over 5% of the vote for President in 2008, so their status as qualified parties was not upset by the 2008 election.  But Washington state has a U.S. Senate race this year, and as soon as it occurs, that race will be the controlling race to determine qualified status for 2012.  At that point, Washington will have no qualified parties.

The Washington state election code does not use the term “qualified party”; the election law term is “major party”, but the language is not consequential.  Only major parties are automatically on the ballot.  Therefore, if the law is not changed, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party will not even be on the November 2012 ballot for president, unless they each submit a petition of 1,000 names.  The petition is due in late July, before either major party will have held its 2012 national convention.  But a 1994 ruling of the Washington Secretary of State says parties may use stand-in presidential candidates on petitions.

Of course, it is very likely that the 2011 session of the legislature will change the definition of “party”.  During 2009 and 2010, the Secretary of State tried to persuade the legislature to amend the definition of qualified party to a group that had polled at least 1% for President at the last presidential election.  That bill, SB 5681, did not pass.