On March 11, the California Secretary of State released registration data, as of February 10, 2011. Compared to the last tally, which was as of October 18, 2010, the parties that increased their share of the registration are American Independent, Libertarian, and Peace & Freedom. The parties that declined are Democratic, Republican, Green, and Reform. Independent registration rose. See here for the new Report of Registration.
The percentage figures below for each party are the October 2010 percent, followed by the February 2011 percent:
Democratic, 44.08%, 44.04%
Republican, 31.02%, 30.88%
American Independent, 2.39%, 2.43%
Green, .6585%, .6582%
Libertarian, .53%, .54%
Peace & Freedom, .33%, .34%
Reform, .14%, .13%
other unqualified parties plus independents, 20.85%, 20.98%
Santa Cruz appears to have reclassified their “Independent” voters as no party preference, with the number of Other voters dropping from 6.13% to 0.93%, while the NPP voters increased to 21.27% from 15.96% (DTS) in October.
Fresno continues to have a high number of other party registrants 3.39%. Alameda, San Benito, San Luis Obispo, and Ventura may be classifying new “Independent” registrants as Miscellaneous other rather than DTS/NPP. I think that Santa Cruz and perhaps Fresno were the only ones who went through old registrations.
Since California law now makes a distinction between voters who have expressed a party preference and those that have not, I think you should present the other parties as distinct from NPP voters.
Hmmmm, the GOP grew at a bigger percentage compared to the AIP and the other third parties.
-Disappointing.
Cody, NSGOP declined, as did Dem Dems, Greens and Reform Party.
Declien to State, AIP, LP and P&F grew.
Shoot, forgot the second digit.
My bad.
It surprises me that the two parties have not changed that much. I wold have expected people to move to a third party.
Cody Quirk
The AIP went up in voters and the GOP went down.
Also the AIP is now a major party in two California counties. Last October 18, 2010 major party status was
in only one county. Both other “major” parties have
lost voters. Also losing voters was the Constitution
Party it fell from 167 to 157 voter and from electors
in 22 counties down to only 18 counties.
Again why the alternative history on the Hansen’s. Does
it mater that they lived in Nevada and not California?
Sincerely, Mark Seidenberg, Vice Chairman,
American Independent Party
Jim Riley
Thank you for the posting # 1, I need to check out Santa Cruz County. If what you say is true they are
not acting the same way as Imperial County, viz., counting the HAVA generated form differently than in either Inperial County and El Dorado County.
Sincerely, Mark Seidenberg, Vice Chairman,American Independent Party
#7 Santa Cruz County posts its registration totals on a nearly weekly basis. You can go back in time and find the week where there was a sudden drop in DTS voters, and a big jump in Other Miscellaneous voters.
Curiously, the latest report on the Santa Cruz web site for February 14, 2011 still shows a large Miscellaneous component (6.28%) of voters.
The big shift occurred May 12, 2008 and May 19, 2008. The second date was the last report before the June 2008 primary.
Total registration increased by 429, which is a 0.31% increase, which is not unreasonable considering that it was the last week before the cutoff before the election. All parties but the Green Party gained registrants, and there may have been some switches to the P&F or Democratic Party.
But DTS voters decreased by 3,756 (-13.5%), while Miscellaneous voters increased by 3,883. It’s pretty clear that a lot of “Independent” voters were reclassified.
If I were computerizing my voter registration records, I would go ahead and actually transcribe any registrations with Natural Law, Reform, Independent, Salmon Yoga, Coffee, etc. and it might be a relatively trivial matter to tabulate all registrations with unqualified parties.