Every week, Americans Elect posts a new national signature total on its web page. The new figure is 2,196,247, which is an increase of 43,357 over the last seven days. Every week, fairly consistently, the group collects another 40,000 to 50,000 signatures around the nation.
The Iowa debate on ABC is only 5 hours away.
My wondering is which of the candidates, Romney or Gingrich, will create the situation wherein a significant 3rd party candidate will run?
Especially with regard to the Americans Elect open slot.
Obama vs Romney
Obama vs Gingrich
If Romney was nominated, it would seem Ron Paul just might take the AE slot. His people could easily snag that spot.
Or if Gingrich is chosen, the who might fill the middle?
At any rate, the debate tonight should be great sport.
Like watching NASCAR and waiting for the crash.
So what’s with their percentages for Paul, Huntsman, Roemer, and Obama being so low now? Last week, the percentages reflected how close the candidates matched the online averages for each particular issue category.
FYI, if you don’t see the percentages, it means you aren’t logged-in to AE as a registered participant. I have answered over 200 issue questions so far. (= Gold level +)
A while back, Democratic pollster PPP did a series of three-way match-ups between the President, Romney, and third-party candidates. Rep. Paul got 15% to Romney’s 33% and Obama’s 45%. In the same poll, Obama and Romney got 45% each in a two-man race.
For what it’s worth.
Windrip Hater,
So, are you a genuine active Gold Level supporter of AE or just monitoring the process from the inside?
Mark B,
If Ron Paul went the Libertarian route because he didn’t feel like going the long haul toward the GOP convention with delegates that could make him the kingmaker it would be interesting to see Paul in the CPD debates. I’ve read that Paul is going the long haul and it might be possible for there to be a brokered convention if Romney and Gingrich slug it out. But frankly I feel that Gingrich’s lack of organization (and mouth) will be his downfall. Romney has the organization and $ to win in a marathon. Unless the anti-Romney candidates drop out early and the calculus changes dramatically. So many variables.
Brad,
You’re quite right that this GOP Prez nomination season is unpredictable. Trump, Bachmann, Perry, and Cain all flubbed their chance to be the anti-Romney. It may be that, given the unusually drawn-out, back-loaded primary season in 2012, no majority accumulates to a candidate quickly or at all. I’m just as unsure as you whether Gingrich or Romney gets it.
And, let’s not forget that there’s a very good chance of a 2nd-place showing for Paul in Iowa. He could do better in the primaries than anticipated. So many variables!
PREDICTIONS:
GOP: Romney or Gingrich with Santorum VP (Imperialists)
DEM: Clinton/Biden (socialists)
LIB: Johnson/Ventura (libertarian)
GREEN: Stein/Mesplay (environmentalists)
CONST: Buchanan/? (conservative)
AMELECT: Roemer/Anderson (populist)
Hold onto your hats!
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Windrip Hater,
As much as I think Santorum was cozying up to Gingrich last night to get a chance at the VP slot I am not sure that he is the right fit to bring in extra votes. But Santorum does appear to be what Gingrich isn’t. Young, telegenic, consistent and has fidelity.
I’ll bet you $10,000 that Clinton won’t be Dem nominee though?
You don’t really understand what socialism is if you think Clinton and Biden are socialists, and you’re in la la land if you think Obama is going to step down, when he’s still the favorite.
I doubt Santorum will be the VP pick… there are a lot bigger names with a lot less negatives, like Christie (who would probably say no), Rubio, etc
And while I was actually excited about Roemer for about a day, before I actually took a look at his track record, I wouldn’t bet on him getting the AE nod. He’s got some very interesting reform views on things like election law and whatnot, but is a staunch conservative overall, with some truly right wing economic views. From what I’m seeing, a lot of people are having the same experience of getting a good first impression, but not liking what they see once they open the hood and kick the tires. That silly idea of only taking $100 donations ensures that he could not afford anything remotely close to a national campaign.
Americans Elect is having a rough time on a 100% count in California. It is coming in at 66%. Duplicates are coming in like crazy.
Check out this statement, “Let’s Hear It For The Bi-Partisan Ticket,” by Diane Sare, National Candidate of the LaRouche Slate, running for Congress in the State of New Jersey.
Click on http://www.larouchepac.com/node/20738 for the full statement.