538.com, as of early February, predicts a 24% chance that the Democratic national convention delegates will make the actual (not just the formal decision) as to whom to nominate for president. See here. Thanks to Political Wire for the link.
538.com, as of early February, predicts a 24% chance that the Democratic national convention delegates will make the actual (not just the formal decision) as to whom to nominate for president. See here. Thanks to Political Wire for the link.
About 100.000 percent chance that the final Donkey choice will be one more Lenin/Stalin/Mao RED communist posing as a *moderate* ???
The wording of the title and text of this article is misleading. It is more correct to say that “fivethiryeight.com predicts that there is a 24% chance that the Democratic National Convention will fail to choose a nominee on the first ballot”.
In any event, Biden is sinking like a rock. Expect more turmoil.
Title and text seem correct to me. Also agreed with Walter Ziobro.
Language matters. John, you must clearly examine words and phrases to understand meaning.
Question: Will the Democratic National Convention choose a nominee?
Answer: Yes. 100% guaranteed (except if for whatever reson they deadlock and adjourn the convention, in which case DJT is re-elected by default). It might be on the first ballot. It might take dozens of ballots. Regardless of how long it takes, the convention will choose a candidate.
Richard’s headline says that there is only a “24% chance the Democratic National Convention will choose a nominee”. (Note that the word “actually” does nothing to change the meaning of the phrase.)
Which is it? 100% or 24%?
FWIW, in 1924 the Democratic National Convention took 16 days and 103 ballots to choose John W. Davis as the Democrat Party nominee for the presidency. They eventually did choose a nominee.
Actually choose rather than understand, Don.
Sorry that was autocorrect. Rubberstamp not understand.