New California Registration Data

On October 30, the California Secretary of State released new registration data. This is the last tally California will provide until January 2022.

The new percentages, as of October 19, 2020, are: Democratic 46.13%; Republican 24.19%; American Independent 2.93%; Libertarian .89%; Peace & Freedom .469%; Green .385%; Common Sense .04%; independent, unknown, and miscellaneous 24.95%.

At the last tally, which was from September 4, 2020, the percentages were: Democratic 46.42%; Republican 24.16%; American Independent 2.90%; Libertarian .87%; Peace & Freedom .471%; Green .383%; Common Sense .05%; independent, unknown, and miscellaneous 24.74%.


Comments

New California Registration Data — 21 Comments

  1. At least the impersonator BAN resident MORON detects PURGE lists – after weeks/months.

  2. NO Fun being PURGED –

    See Hitler 1934 PURGE
    See Stalin 1936-1939 PURGE

    Just enough fun loving MORONS on this list — loving those PURGE lists.

    Waiting for 4 Nov 2020 PURGES —

    Are you now or have you even been a registered member of the XXXXX Party ???

    Answer YES – move directly to firing squad wall.

    see also 1936-1939 Spanish Civil War — lots of bloody bullets in lots of walls.

  3. I have been gone from California for a while, but wow! P&F has more registered voters than the Greens?

  4. At the rate things are going, by 2024 the California LP will have more voter registrations than the Green Party does nationally.

  5. National LP voter registrations now exceed the populations of two states – Wyoming and Vermont. This is the first year that has happened.

    If the party adds as many in 2022 as it did in 2018, then in 2022 it will also have more voter registrations than the entire populations of DC and possibly Alaska.

  6. Soooooo – ALL LP folks move to WY/VT/DC/AK ??? —

    and then have such areas be declared nuke / bio-war test areas ???

  7. @ Demo Rep:

    There is actually a movement called the Free State Project that is encouraging any libertarians that are free to move to go to New Hampshire.

  8. Was there any drop in membership of the AIP when that report came out (and preceding survey) of how people erroneously join it?

  9. How are there 109k voters registered as “unknown”, and they’re not “no party preference” (independents) or “Other” because both of those categories are listed?

  10. My guess it that these people checked the Other box on their voter registration form and either left the line next to it blank, or they printed the name of a party on the line, but their printing was not legible.

  11. Meanwhile, the party registrations among those who have voted in CA so far is Democrats 52.93%, Indies/ Others 24.34%, Republicans 22.73%. GOoPers better hurry if they want to stay California’s second party.

  12. Several polls have shown that most Democrats are voting early while most Republicans are waiting to vote in person on election day.

  13. Richard:
    1) Isn’t the odd-year report still on February 10th?
    2) Recently, when California changed the law to essentially “somewhat” force citizens to register to vote when they renew their driver license/ID cards, if the brand new voter doesn’t pick a party or declares No Party Preference then the SoS Office lists them as unknown. The unknown voters are left out of some calculations for party qualification.

  14. I don’t think the automatic voter registration with the DMV law ever got implemented in California.

  15. @BL,

    When motor voter was first implemented, many DMV’s would simply hand a voter registration card to people getting/renewing their drivers license. They might forget to do so, or would forget to submit them to the SOS. When asked, they would say its not our job. When asked what their job was, they would explain it was to impose misery on the populace.

    If they asked the licensee, they might decline because they had already been in line for two hours because they had been given the wrong form, or believed if they weren’t registered they would not be called to jury duty.

    Paper forms would have illegible handwriting, or might not be signed.

    Eventually voter registration was more integrated since the DMV had already gathered the address information, legal name, birthdate, citizenship status, But they still had to get a party affiliation, permission to register. Some licensees agreed, and when presented a list of parties would chose Mugwump if it were listed. In Oregon enough people chose Independent to make it a major party.

    Oregon switched to Automatic Voter Registration. When they went to the DMV, their information was sent to the SOS which would check whether they were regiatered. If not, they would conditionally register them, and send them a postcard informing them of the fact.

    A voter could send the postcard back if they didn’t want to be registered, or wanted to specify a party. Most did not bother (it also informed voters that they could select a party online at any time).

    In 2019, of 145,460 new automatic registrations, 7.2% were D, 4.6 were R, 1.0% were I, 0.4% were L, G, C, P, WF, and O. 86.8% were non-affiliated.

    Since AVR began in Oregon, non-partisan registrations have increased by from 24.3% to 32.9%, while D dropped from 38.1% to 35.5%, and R dropped from 29.6% to 25.3%. Independent dropped from 5.1% to 4.3% and lost its major party status.

    There has been an uptick in D and R in 2020, and a small decline in non-partisan. This is due to voters switching affiliation to vote in the primaries, and also more conventional registrations in anticipation of the general election.

    When California adopted AVR there was a concern that the number of registered voters would increase, reducing the percentage of minor party voters (L, G, and P&F). So they devised the category of Unknown. For voting purposes in partisan primaries they are treated as NPP. For determining qualification of parties, they are disregarded.

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