Carolina Journal, a non-profit news source for North Carolina that is both in-print and electronic, here has a story about the North Carolina Libertarian Party support for ballot access for the Green Party.
Carolina Journal, a non-profit news source for North Carolina that is both in-print and electronic, here has a story about the North Carolina Libertarian Party support for ballot access for the Green Party.
Having the Green Party on the ballot is not cost-less for the Libertarian Party. When a Green party candidate is on the ballot along with an L, R, and D, the Libertarian vote percentage tends to drop by around 30% vs elections which only have an L, R, and D. That’s for US House and state legislature for the years 1998 – 2018.
LP is the Party of Principle up to the point of actually advocating for the abolition of ballot access censorship laws. When what gets counts is rigged by censorship only the votes for censors (Ds and Rs) matter.
In the long run, supporting opportunities for all rebounds to the proponent, even if not directly.
It’s like free trade.
Jim… have you done a similar analysis for the Constitution Party?
I should be more precise… when the CP is on the ballot in a four way race with a D and R and LP. Thanks.
I’ve gathered the data on when the CP (and every other party) is on the ballot with the LP, but I have no data on C-R-D elections without the LP. So, I can’t say how much a Libertarian candidate takes from the CP.
When a Constitution Party candidate is on the ballot with a Libertarian, along with an R and a D, the Libertarian drops by about 35%. So, a bit more than the Greens. That’s all I can tell you.
Well… I can also tell you what happens when only one major party is on the ballot vs a Libertarian and a right-wing party. There is limited data there, so I lumped all right wing parties together. That would mostly be Constitution, but also includes Conservative, Right To Life, Tea Party, and any other label that most voters would associate with being right wing.
In an L-D-Right Wing party race, the Libertarian drops by about 61% vs the baseline of L-D.
In an L-R-Right Wing party race, the Libertarian drops by only 18% vs the baseline of L-R.
In other words, a Republican’s 2nd choice is a Right Wing party over the Libertarian Party.
A Democrat’s 2nd choice is the Libertarian Party over a Right Wing party.
That was really the most stand-out data from that analysis.
Glad to see cooperation between North Carolina Libertarians and Greens – even to the point of Libertarians signing the Green Party’s petition. I intuitively agree with Jim’s analysis on vote-splitting by multiple 3rd parties (heck, I’m a datapoint myself), but it seems like many people agree that working constructively together is beneficial in the long run (what D.F.R. & Walter said). Imagine if our ballot access system and voting method reflected that idea…
In the meantime, I really hope there’s an avenue for legal recourse here! And if I may make a suggestion to North Carolinians who support their Green Party: Take a look at the Libertarian candidates.
Now — ALL evil / vicious anti-democracy minority rule gerrymander regimes in USA and all 50 State regimes.
1/2 x 1/2 =1/4 CONTROL.
Much worse primary math.
Media and courts brain dead ignorant.
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PR — all larger factions elect legislators >>> indirect majority rule = Democracy