A Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll for Governor shows these results: Republican incumbent Kim Reynolds 48%, Democratic nominee Deidre DeJear 31%, Libertarian Rick Stewart 5%, someone else 5%, will not vote 2%, unsure 9%.

There will probably be only three candidates on the ballot, although the petition deadline for independent candidates and the nominees of unqualified parties hasn’t passed yet, so it is possible others could enter the race. See this news story about the poll.

Iowa defines a qualified party as one that got 2% for the office at the top of the ticket (i.e., president in presidential years and Governor in midterm years). No minor party has polled as much as 2% for Iowa Governor since 1970, when the American Independent Party polled 2.39%.