1. Just yesterday this site posted a reference to a Wyoming poll which it sounds like essentially allowed “write-ins” since it says “another candidate (which had to be volunteered by the respondent) 2%; ” which undercuts McMullin’s claims rather drastically (unless there is a rather huge effort being planned to reach voters there that he has some credible reason to believe will be successful)

2. What do readers think — is this better or worse than Gary Johnson’s not recognizing the name of Aleppo?

3. I don’t know how this compares to Aleppo.

   Even if he were on the ballot in Wyoming, McMuffin is dreaming about carrying that state. The Wyoming poll out earlier this week (reported on this website), shows Trump with majority support in Wyoming. Hard to carry a state in a multi party race if one of your opponents has majority support. Of course, the lack of a ballot line doesn’t help either. On that point, I’ll point out that Wyoming is one of a dozen or so states that had a ballot deadline after his August 8th announcement where he failed to successfully petition on to the ballot.

   I’m still waiting for news of Gary Johnson failing to make a state ballot …

4. McMullin likely got his revelation that he can win Idaho and Wyoming from the golden tablets.

   He’s ABSOLUTELY irrelevant. Even more so than Johnson or Stein. He’ll likely come in third in Utah with a double digit percentage, and will register less than 1% in the other 10 states on which he’s on the ballot, except he might break 2% in Idaho, the state with the second largest number of Mormons.

5. I think McMullin will get:
   15% in Utah
   5% in Idaho
   2% in 1 other state
   1% in 4 more states
   .5% in 4 more states
   <.5% everywhere else

6. I would be interested in reading an investigative report on McMullin’s campaign. He’s not on the ballot in WA State, I have no idea abt his status re being a Write-In candidate in this state. And yet I have heard one interview with him and a one other separate report abt his candidacy on KOMO radio (which is the largest news radio station in western WA State. He must have some awesome PR people working for him. Gary Johnson, who is on the ballot here and has come to WA to campaign got that many stories on KOMO. And Jill Stein has only gotten mentioned on that radio station.

7. Idaho could be good for McMUllin. Back-to-back polls have him at 10%. That was a few weeks ago, and we all know how long it took for him to go from 9%-30% in Utah, just a few weeks. He’s also around 3% in Virginia, and could get something in Minnesota if the Independence Party puts some resources behind him.

8. I still find it bizarre that Gary Johnson hasn’t neutralized Evan McMullin’s support in the Western states. If the Libertarian social liberalism is a bridge too far, then Darrell Castle of the Constitution Party is on the ballot as a somewhat social conservative. Though there’s still the prostitution, gambling, and drug legalization that Castle supports.

9. I think it will take a bit of time to neutralize McMullin, but he’ll fade. I think people are starting to see him as a tool for Hillary. With the breaking news about the FBI investigation, I believe that anyone who is seen as benefitting Hillary will lose support. That’s clearly the case for McMullin.

   IN fact, I’m already seeing evidence of this. According to 538, he was in first place with 31% in a poll that was conducted through October 19th. A Survey Monkey poll released today has him back down to 27%, and in third place.

10. I’m biased of course but given the fact that we know that the posters are undersampling younger voters and independents isn’t it possible to McMullen isn’t actually doing as well as the polls seem to say he is?

11. Wouldn’t that mean There is a possibility he is doing better than the polls suggest? Seems to me he’s a more favorable option for former millennial republicans.

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