“Draper”, an Anonymous Analyst of Election Systems, Sums Up Criticism of Ranked Choice Voting in Alaska’s Special U.S. House Election

An election systems analyst who is anonymous, but who goes by “Draper”, has detailed criticism of Ranked Choice Voting as it worked in Alaska last month. There are lots of articles about this subject, but this one has the relevant data and is easy to understand.

To see the article, go to MustReadAlaska.com. Then find the article “Election analyst: Begich would win head to head with either Peltola or Palin.”

MustReadAlaska supports Republican candidates.


Comments

“Draper”, an Anonymous Analyst of Election Systems, Sums Up Criticism of Ranked Choice Voting in Alaska’s Special U.S. House Election — 14 Comments

  1. This is why single winner elections should use pairwise voting utilizing the rcv ballot instead of transferring votes.

    To “fix” the Alaska system require only one candidate per party in the general election and tabulate ballots pairwise instead of transferring votes.

    Really congress should increase the size of the house though so all states have multiple seats and then use single transferable but right now that’s only a faint hope.

  2. RCV worked as its supposed to. Just because butt-hurt anti-Palin Republicans don’t like the result is not the fault of RCV. And, “Draper” being anonymous doesn’t help.

  3. @SocraticGadfly… I’m going to have disagree. Instant Run-Off does have a “center squeeze” problem, and Begich was the center candidate. The center rightfully preferred the Democrat over Palin, however, the middle-of-the road candidate was tossed after the first round.

    Instant Run-Off is typically sold as favoring the middle, when it in fact typically divides the middle.

    https://electowiki.org/wiki/Center_squeeze

    When RCV is used for multi-winner elections this problem largely goes away.

    In the general election this November, watch the Libertarian be tossed round 1, and Begich tossed round 2.

  4. Jiri Navaratil is not anonymous. He is a researcher for IBM in Salt Lake and apparently lives in Draper, Utah.

  5. I guess one nice thing about RCV is that it gives analysts enough data to determine whether there was a “Condorcet failure”. That can’t be done with a typical plurality election.

  6. AD wrote:

    “I guess one nice thing about RCV is that it gives analysts enough data to determine whether there was a “Condorcet failure”. That can’t be done with a typical plurality election.”

    Good point. The title of the article says it all:

    “Election analyst: Begich would win head to head with either Peltola or Palin.”

  7. Richard Winger: Whats your opinion of the voting system that Alaska uses? I am on the fence on this one.

  8. “The Truth” is once again a trolling liar, as is Crisco Duck. (Could have used a word besides duck.)

  9. Jim. thanks for the additional info.

    Aiden: First, ANY form of IRV, whether RCV or not, will in the right situations, have a Condorcet problem or other problems, contra the sometimes AZ-inine former Demo Rep here, and others elsewhere explicitly. Adding to the headache fun, your link notes that the Condorcet winner and the utilitarian winner can be different at times.

    That said, RCV worked as it’s supposed to. You, Begich fans or Navaratil, may not like it, but it worked as it’s supposed to.

  10. I believe that elections for important policy-making office should be partisan. I was trained in college to accept the social usefulness of political parties. The research is solid that partisan elections produce outcomes that match opinion about public policy, better than nonpartisan elections. So I think parties should be allowed to have nominees, and therefore I don’t support the Alaska system. But I do support ranked choice voting.

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