Election Returns Show Kennedy Received Highest Support in Areas Where Trump was Popular, With the Exception of Native American-majority Counties

Posted on by December 25, 2024

An analysis of the Robert F. Kennedy, Jr vote shows that he received his highest percentages in counties that were more pro-Trump than that state as a whole. However, he also received his very highest support in counties with a Native American majority, and those counties were more pro-Harris, so the two factors must be weighed together to determine if his presence in the race helped either Trump or Harris.

Kennedy has long been intensely interested in Native American welfare, and Native Americans have long admired him for that. When Kennedy announced his vice-presidential nominee in Oakland, California, Native American speakers and performers were an important part of the meeting.

In the 22 counties with a Native American majority, and in which Kennedy was on the ballot, he received 2.49% of the total vote. This contrasts the the nation as a whole, in which he only received .98% of the vote in the states where he was on the ballot.

A large majority of the Native American vote went for Harris, despite some early news reports that reported the opposite. See this analysis from the Brookings Institution.

Setting aside the relatively small number of Native American-majority counties, one sees that in a large majority of states in which Kennedy was on the ballot, his best county in that state was a county that was more pro-Trump than that state as a whole. This tends to show that Kennedy’s support came at the expense of Trump.

Kennedy was on the ballot in 30 states. In four of them his best county was a Native American-majority county (Alaska, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota). Setting those aside, one finds that in 21 states Kennedy’s strongest county was a county that was more pro-Trump than that state as a hole. In only five states was the best Kennedy county a county that was more pro-Harris than that state as a whole. Those five states were Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Mississippi, and Rhode Island.

Alaska has no counties, so this analysis substitute state representative districts for Alaska. Kennedy’s best “county” was Alaska’s 38th State House District, which could be named “Bethel”, and where Kennedy got 5.58% of the vote.

Comments

Election Returns Show Kennedy Received Highest Support in Areas Where Trump was Popular, With the Exception of Native American-majority Counties — 50 Comments

  2. WHO GOT THE MOST VOTES OF THE VOTER FOLKS ***ON DRUGS*** [INCLUDING BOOZE] ???

    TRUMP
    HARRIS
    RFKJR
    LP OLIVER
    ETC ???

    ANY NEW ***ON/MORE DRUGS*** PARTY ???

  4. No one needs to rely on the Brookings report. Anyone is free to see the election results in the Native American-majority counties to see how overwhelmingly they voted for Harris over Trump. Those counties were Alaska State Rep districts 37,38,39,40; Apache, Arizona; Mahnomen, Minnesota; Big Horn, Montana; Blaine, Montana; Glacier, Montana; Roosevelt, Montana; Thurston, Nebraska; Benson, North Dakota; Rolette, North Dakota, Sioux, North Dakota; Adair, Oklahoma; Bennett, South Dakota; Buffalo, South Dakota; Corson, South Dakota; Dewey, South Dakota, Mellette, South Dakota; Oglala Laokta, South Dakota; Todd, South Dakota; Ziebach, South Dakota; San Juan, Utah; Menominee, Wisconsin. Of course RFK wasn’t on the ballot in some of those counties.

  7. Why are we still talking about Chase Oliver? He’s a flaming faggot who pushes communism and gay stuff. He failed terribly in the election and should go back to hanging in the gay clubs instead of getting involved in politics.

  8. I thought boroughs in Alasaka were the equivalent to counties.

    I know Louisiana calls counties parishes, which comes from territories for Catholic churches. Louisiana was founded by French Catholics.

  9. Boroughs don’t cover the entire state of Alaska. Lots of people live in areas that are not part of any borough.

  10. Those areas are at least sometimes known as Unorganized Borough. Do a search for Unorganized Borough to see what I mean. Andy is correct, the equivalent of counties in Louisiana are parishes, and in DC the equivalent is wards.

  11. Glenn, you must mean big league.

    Other people: what’s your obsession with Chasing Oliver? Honestly, I would have forgotten he was even running or ran, except you all keep bringing him up.

  12. Doing better in counties where Trump did better doesn’t mean those votes came from people who would otherwise vote for Trump. They could also be people who would otherwise be in their local minority or otherwise not vote.

  13. A little over 10% of Alaska’s population resides in Unorganized Borough, which covers about half of Alaska geographically. Its population is about 77k and its land area is larger than any of the lower 48.

  14. I spent two summers working in Alaska when I was 18 and 19. It was in the Aleutians which are part of the unorganized area.

  16. Lol. If you mean for president… I think he’d be eliminated on the first ballot if he does that.

  17. Bethel is in Unorganized Borough according to my search, along with other towns such as Valdez, Nome, and Unalaska.

  18. Why isn’t Trump on our money yet? Thanks to Biden inflation we need a $200 bill. But there’s no way Beijing Biden should be on our money, so how about Trump? Trump should make that one of his executive orders on day one.

  19. Even if Alaska’s boroughs covered the entire state, the state elections division doesn’t report the presidential vote by borough. Instead it reports it by State Representative District.

  20. I would think Chasing Oliver would be finished politically after his disastrous campaign showing.

  28. What BAN troll morons are running for usa prez in 2028 ???

    Where to send *donations* ??? – some usa/state mental hospital for the insane ???

  30. Shush! You’ll wake him up! …And AZ is a bot, not a troll moron. It’s only programmed to emulate one.

  34. Stop trolling. I never left, and as you probably know, I’m not Stock except in your warped trolling mind.

    My new years wish for you is to get the psychological help you have been avoiding and finally overcome the trauma of being sexually molested as a child by an older man. I’m pulling for you, young man.

  36. To the individual who posts as “Stop Trolling”.

    I have NEVER used a pseudonym. I only comment under my own name.

  37. “Stop trolling” is projecting his traumas as well as his trolling on others. So far he has refused to seek help, but hopefully that will change.

  47. Better drugs in new year for the several BAN troll morons ???

    – who love attacking each other’s multiple sick TROLL personalities.

    See the coming Trump nonstop storm of TYRANNY AND OPPRESSION.

  48. Well I’m Donald Trump, the one they’re talking about, if you talk crap about me you’ll get punched in the mouth.

    If you disrespect me, forget about it, forget it. Best case for you is you’ll survive to regret it.

    I’m the Boss of all Bosses, King of all Kings. I bring the world hope, I’m why we have nice things.

    Last time I took human form, I got crucified. This time around, I won’t be so nice.

    If you think bad about me, stop
    trusting fake media. Go to conservapedia.com and read conservapedia.

    But even if you’re not smart enough to, or have no eyes to see, you’re still smarter than to take seriously the spambot “AZ”

  50. Well if we elected Hoemala, we’d always be broke
    The only thing we’d have lots of is is meth and fentanyl to smoke
    That drunk loco loony bitch can’t do me
    Do we look like CCP? You hoochie groupie
    I have no love for hoes
    That’s something that I learned from experience
    So how the fuck am I supposed
    To pay high taxes just to elect this hoe?
    I know the money’s mine
    So I’ll help elect Trump a couple more times

    Cause she ain’t nothin’ but a bitch to me
    And y’all know, that bitches ain’t shit to me

    I’m for Trump, ho, you’ll never be our president

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