On July 27, the Institute for Governmental Studies at Berkeley released this poll of the September 14, 2021 California gubernatorial recall election.
The bottom half of the poll includes the replacement candidates. Because so many voters are undecided, the poll asked whether the voter is considering voting for particular candidates. Larry Elder is being considered by 34%, more than any other candidate. Jeff Hewitt, the sole Libertarian, is being considered by 12%.
The poll also did ask which candidate the respondents favor, and Larry Elder is leading there also, with 18%.
Most voters do not favor recalling Gavin Newsom, but among voters most likely to vote, the anti-recall vote is only 3% above the pro-recall vote.