On October 15, the Field Poll released a 2018 gubernatorial poll. See this story. The story suggests that it is likely that only two Democrats will be on the November 2018 ballot, assuming that the election system remains in place.
Charles T. Munger, Jr., and Sam Blakeslee will soon be collecting signatures on their California initiative called the “California Legislature Transparency Act.” It would require that bills be in print for three days before either house of the legislature votes on them.
Ironically, if this had been in effect in 2009, the top-two measure promoted by Munger might never have been created. The bill for the top-two system was introduced and passed between 3 a.m. and 6 a.m. on the morning of February 19, 2009. Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed it into law minutes after it was put on his desk. No legislative hearings were held on it, and the public had zero input and zero chance to weigh in.
The proposed initiative also requires that all legislative committee hearings be filmed (currently, some of them are filmed), and gives public access to these recordings. The initiative permits these recordings to be broadcast by anyone, and specifically permits it for campaign ads.
This CNN article gives details about the Equal Time rule, as applied to Saturday Night Live and the recent appearance by Hillary Clinton, and tue upcoming appearance by Donald Trump. Thanks to Rick Hasen for the link.
On October 14, U.S. District Court Judge Michael H. Watson issued an opinion in Libertarian Party of Ohio v Husted, s.d., 2:13cv-953. He ruled that a federal court cannot rule on whether the ballot access law passed in 2013 violates the Ohio State Constitution. Only state courts can do that.
The Ohio Constitution, Article V, section 7, says, “All nominations for elective state, district, county and municipal offices shall be made at direct primary elections or by petition as provided by law.” The 2013 ballot access law says that newly-qualifying parties shall nominate by convention, not primary. The Libertarian Party charged that the new law thereby violates the Ohio Constitution and is invalid.
The ruling says that Ohio did not waive its Eleventh Immunity, and therefore this claim can only be handled by state courts. The party had argued that the state had voluntarily waived its immunity, but the decision rejects that argument
The decision also finds the ban on out-of-state circulators to be unconstitutional. Ohio had already lost on this issue some years ago, but the legislature had then reinstated the ban.
The decision does not decide whether the Libertarian Party was discriminated against when, in 2014, the state enforced a particular campaign finance disclosure restriction for the first time. The party’s gubernatorial candidate was removed from the primary ballot because his primary petition (which required 500 names) was circulated by paid petitioners. The paid petitioners did not fill in the name of their employer on the petition sheets. They did not do so because they believed they were independent contractors. The party and its petitioners argue that the law was interpreted to apply to them for the first time, and previously this law had never been enforced. Certain initiative petitioners did not fill out the blanks and yet the initiatives they worked on were approved. The October 14 ruling says this issue cannot be resolved until more evidence is uncovered. If the Libertarian Party wins this part of the lawsuit, it is not certain what the relief might be.
The Libertarian Party can make a strong case that if its gubernatorial candidate had not been removed from the party’s primary ballot, he would then have been on the November ballot and probably would have polled 2% or more. Then the party would be on the November 2016 ballot. The next phase of the case should be finished within four or five weeks.
On October 14, the Arkansas Libertarian Party filed a federal lawsuit against the law passed this year that says the party (and any newly-qualifying party) must choose all its 2016 nominees (except President) by November of this year. The case is called Libertarian Party of Arkansas v Martin, 4:15cv-635.
UPDATE: here is a short news story.