Washington Post Carries Political Science Analysis that Says Gerrymandering of U.S. House Districts Had Little Impact on Number of Seats Won by Each Major Party

The Washington Post has this interesting analysis of whether gerrymandering is the reason why Republicans won more seats in the U.S. House in November 2012, even though Democratic candidates for U.S. House received more popular votes across the entire nation. Thanks to Rick Hasen for the link.

North Carolina Libertarian Registration Percentage, .31%, is Higher Than Any Previous Third Party in North Carolina

The latest North Carolina registration tally, for February 16, 2013, shows that Libertarian registration is .31% of the state total. Although that is not particularly impressive on its face, it is the highest share of statewide registration that any party, other than the Democratic and Republican Parties, has ever had in North Carolina, at least since statistics have been kept. No data exists for years before 1966.

The previous high mark for minor party registration in North Carolina was in October 1972, when the American Party had registration of .30%. It had been on the ballot continuously since 1968, but it went off the ballot after the 1972 election. It got back on in 1976, but by then had lost all its registrants, because the state forcibly converts all minor party members to independents when the party goes off the ballot, and then the party has to start getting registrants all over again.

The Libertarian Party was on the ballot continuously during the years 1976-1984, but then it went off the ballot for four years, so lost all its registrants. It was also on the ballot continuously 1996-2004, and by October 2004 had registration of .23%, but then it went off the ballot so its total was again reduced to zero. It has been on continuously starting in 2008, and its registration has been rising ever since.

The February 16, 2013 tally shows that both major parties have declined since October 2012. The October 2012 percentages were: Democratic 43.17%, Republican 30.86%, Libertarian .29%, independent 25.67%. The new tally percentages are: Democratic 43.12%, Republican 30.82%, Libertarian .31%, independent 25.75%. Thanks to Ray Ubinger for the news about the new tally.

Initiative Proponents File Lawsuit Against Washington State Law That Invalidates Both Signatures when a Voter Signs Twice

Washington state has a law pertaining to local initiatives, which says that when a voter signs the same petition twice, neither signature should be counted. Recently, a local initiative in the city of Vancouver was invalidated because of this law. The petition was 32 signatures short, but would easily have qualified if voters who had signed twice had not had both the signatures invalidated.

Proponents of the initiative sued in state court, and the case is pending. The County Auditor of Clark County, the main defendant, writes in this op-ed that the law is unjust, and he hopes it is overturned in court. The initiative was to block extension of Portland, Oregon’s light rail system into the city of Vancouver, via a new bridge over the Columbia River.

FEC Will Soon Decide Whether the Socialist Workers Party May Continue to be Exempt from Campaign Reporting

On February 14, the Federal Election Commission held a public discussion on whether to extend the campaign finance reporting exemption for the Socialist Workers Party. Apparently the Commission has not come to a conclusion. Here is a link to two proposed determinations, prepared by staff for the Commissioners.

Draft “A” is 21 pages and grants the exemption. Draft “B” is 23 pages and denies the exemption. Much of the material in each draft is the same, but Draft “A” finds harassment experienced by the party to be serious enough to justify an extension, while Draft “B” discusses the same harassment but downplays it. Draft “B”, on page 21, says the party should be required to disclose its contributors because possibly some insincere individuals will contribute massively to the party to “take votes away” from certain major candidates. This is a foolish fear, because if there were such insincere individuals, they would not contribute directly to the SWP; they would instead make independent expenditures, much as some Democrats made independent expenditures to help gain votes for the Montana Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate last year. Of course, independent expenditures have nothing to do with the kind of campaign reports that the SWP would be making if the party didn’t have an exemption. Thanks to Thomas Jones for the link.