Only One Top-Two Initiative Will be on Oregon November 2014 Ballot

July 3 is the deadline for statewide initiatives to submit petitions in Oregon this year. Although two different initiatives had been circulating for a top-two election system, only one of them appears to have qualified. The one that almost certainly qualified submitted over 140,000 signatures last week, and provides for a standard top-two system, similar to the ones used in California and Washington.

The one that failed to obtain enough signatures would have used approval voting in the May primary.

The measure that qualified had raised hundreds of thousands of dollars from a handful of wealthy contributors, and used paid circulators. The version that failed was mostly dependent on volunteers.

Morro Bay, California, May Abandon Two-Round Elections for City Office

According to this story, Morro Bay, California, is the only city in California that holds an election for city office in June, and then has a run-off in November if no one gets as much as 50%. The city council has just voted 3-2 to ask the voters if they wish to repeal that system, and instead just have a single round in November. The majority on the city council says the two-round system costs too much.

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Poll

On July 3, WBUR released a poll for the Massachusetts gubernatorial race. The major party primaries are not until September 9, and both major parties have contested primaries. The poll takes account of each possible combination of major party nominee. The most likely scenario is that Martha Coakley will be the Democratic nominee and Charlie Baker will be the Republican nominee. Presuming that set of major party nominees, the results are: Democratic Coakley 41%, Republican Baker 28%, United Independent Party nominee Evan Falchuk 2%, independent Jeff McCormick 2%, independent Scott Lively 1%, another candidate 2%, wouldn’t vote 2%, undecided 20%. Thanks to PoliticalWire for the link.

New Jersey Voters Who Want to End Government Funding of Partisan Primaries File Opening Brief

On July 3, the New Jersey voters who wish to vote in Democratic or Republican primaries, but who do not wish to be listed as members of those parties, even for one day, filed their brief in Opposition to Defendant’s Motions to Dismiss. The case is Balsam v Guadagno, U.S. District Court, 14-cv-1388.

The brief argues that it is unconstitutional for New Jersey, or any state, to spend money on partisan primaries, unless all voters are able to vote in those primaries, regardless of their affiliation or non-affiliation with those parties. The theory behind the brief would permit a state to hold a classic open primary, and 18 states do have open primaries. In an open primary, any voter is free to choose any party’s primary ballot, and voter registration forms do not ask applicants to choose a party or to choose independent status. Most southern states have open primaries.

The theory behind the brief would also permit semi-closed primaries, as long as the independent voter who chose a partisan primary ballot did not need to list himself or herself as a party member, even for a few minutes. The semi-closed primary used in California between 2001 and 2010 would satisfy the objections of the plaintiffs, because in California, independents who requested a partisan primary ballot were never deemed to be members of that party, even for one minute. By contrast, in New Jersey, an independent who requests a major party primary is then listed as a party member, but that voter is free to immediately dis-affiliate after casting the primary vote.

The brief discusses the top-two system used in California and Washington, but it erroneously says that the U.S. Supreme Court upheld top-two systems. The U.S. Supreme Court has only upheld top-two systems against the argument that they violate freedom of association. The U.S. Supreme Court has not settled the issue of whether they violate the rights of voters in general elections. See footnote eleven of Washington State Grange v Washington State Republican Party, 552 U.S. 442 (2008). The brief also erroneously says that the top-two system in California was created by an initiative; actually the legislature put it on the ballot.