Professor Says November 6 Election Data Shows New York Green Party Congressional Candidate Helped Democratic Nominee to Win

Professor Allan Mazur has this op-ed in the Syracuse Post-Standard, suggesting that the Green Party nominee in New York’s U.S. House 24th district helped the Democratic nominee to win. Mazur is a Professor of Public Affairs at Syracuse University, and is a sociologist and an engineer. The Green Party nominee, Ursula Rozum, got publicity when she learned that she had received campaign donations from a wealthy individual whose has also spent generously to help Republican candidates win. Rozum donated all the contributions from him to various charities and good-government groups.

Mazur’s conclusions are based on an anlysis of the election returns, although he acknowledges that an exit poll would provide better evidence. The conclusions drawn in this race are consistent with the psychological experiments described in the book “Predictably Irrational”, about how individuals decide among three competing choices. The data is also consistent with Political Scientist Samuel Lubell’s findings about the 1948 presidential election, that Henry Wallace helped Harry Truman. And that data is also consistent with evidence from the 2004 election concerning voters who voted for Ralph Nader.

All 2014 Congressional Primaries Will be May Thru September, Except for Outliers Illinois and Texas

In 2014, all states will have their congressional primaries in May, June, July, August or September, except that Texas will hold its congressional primary on March 6, and Illinois on March 18. It is possible that during 2013, legislatures in those two states will modify their 2014 primary dates. Also Louisiana doesn’t hold congressional primaries. It just holds a congressional election on November 4, 2012, and then if no one gets 50%, holds a runoff in December.

The Texas 2014 primary date means that candidates for Congress in 2014 must file a declaration of candidacy in little more than a year from now.

Americans Elect’s IRS Form 990 Expected to Soon be Available to the Public

Americans Elect is a 501(c)(4) corporation. Federal tax laws say that a 501(c)(4) organization is a “civic league, social welfare organization, or a local association of employees.” A 501(c)(4) may participate in political campaigns and elections, as long as its primary activity is the promotion of social welfare. A 501(c)(4) need not make public a list of individuals who donate to it.

These organizations are required to fill out a 12-page form, called Form 990, and this form must be available for public inspection. The form asks for a description of the organization’s mission or most significant activities, and an accounting of income and expenditures.

Jim Cook, of the blog Irregular Times, is a journalist who has been covering Americans Elect since it was founded. Here he describes his efforts to see the latest Form 990 for Americans Elect, the form for calendar year 2011.

Ballot Retention for the Pre-existing One-State Political Parties that Nominated Rocky Anderson for President

Early this year, Rocky Anderson founded the Justice Party and was nominated as its presidential candidate. His attempts to get on various state ballots were helped when four one-state parties which were already ballot-qualified nominated him as their presidential candidate. These four parties were the Connecticut Independent Party, the Michigan Natural Law Party, the New Mexico Independent Party, and the Oregon Progressive Party. All four parties had nominated Ralph Nader for President in 2008.

Of those four parties, two have now lost their qualified status, because Anderson didn’t poll enough votes. The New Mexico Independent Party went off the ballot because Anderson polled less than one-half of 1%. And the Connecticut Independent Party lost its presidential ballot access because Anderson polled less than 1%.

However, the Oregon Progressive Party remains ballot qualified because of its vote for the other statewide offices. The Natural Law Party remains ballot-qualified in Michigan because of its vote for Regent of the University of Michigan.

One-state qualified parties that nominated Nader in 2008, but which ran no presidential nominee in 2012, are the Delaware Independent Party and the Florida Ecology Party. The Peace & Freedom Party of California in 2008 nominated Nader, and in 2012 nominated Roseanne Barr. The three parties mentioned in this paragraph continue to be ballot-qualified (also, Peace & Freedom is no longer just a one-state party).

Ron Nielson, Gary Johnson Campaign Manager, Says Johnson is Interested in the Libertarian Presidential Nomination in 2016

The Libertarian National Committee is meeting in Arlington, Virginia, November 17-18. IndependentPoliticalReport has been covering that meeting. See here, and then scroll down to comments #88 and #96, in which participants at the meeting commented that Ron Nielson, Gary Johnson’s campaign manager, says Johnson is interested in the Libertarian presidential nomination in 2016.