Only One U.S. Senate Incumbent was Defeated for Re-Election Last Month

This Bloomberg article describes the unusually high re-election rate for incumbent members of Congress running for re-election last month. Perhaps most surprising is that only one incumbent U.S. Senator was defeated for re-election in the November election (also one incumbent was defeated in a primary earlier in the year).

In the House, only 40 incumbents were defeated, and in 13 of those instances, two incumbents were running against each other, so defeat of an incumbent was inevitable. Thanks to Thomas Jones for the link.

Virginia State Board of Elections Releases Write-in Presidential Votes

The Virginia State Board of Elections says the following declared write-in presidential candidates received these votes: Rocky Anderson 76, Jill Reed 14, Sheila Tittle 1, Joseph Glean 4. These results are not posted on the Virginia State Board of Elections’ web page. Some news sources that report vote totals will therefore not be aware of these votes.

Election Returns for Counties that Border Oklahoma Suggest Gary Johnson Would Have Received Over 20,000 Votes in Oklahoma

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party presidential candidate, was not on the ballot in Oklahoma, and Oklahoma does not permit write-ins. But Johnson was on the ballot in all the states that border Oklahoma. In the 46 counties that border Oklahoma (which includes counties in Texas, New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas), Johnson polled 1.52% of the total vote cast.

If one assumes that Oklahoma would have voted for Johnson at the same level at which voters in neighboring counties voted for him, then Johnson would have polled 20,290 votes in Oklahoma (the Oklahoma vote for President was 1,334,872, and 1.52% of that number equals 20,290).

Johnson is the only minor party presidential candidate in 2012 who was on the ballot in all states bordering Oklahoma, so a similar analysis cannot be made for any other candidate. Jill Stein was not on in Missouri or Kansas; Virgil Goode was not on in Texas, Arkansas, or Kansas.

Oklahoma is a state which has almost always given a higher share of its vote to the Libertarian presidential candidate than that candidate received in the nation as a whole, in the years when the Libertarian has been on the ballot in Oklahoma. In 1980 Ed Clark received 1.07% nationwide but 1.20% in Oklahoma. In 1984 David Bergland received .25% nationally but .72% in Oklahoma. In 1988 Ron Paul received .47% nationally but .53% in Oklahoma. In 1992 Andre Marrou received .28% nationally but .32% in Oklahoma. In 1996 Harry Browne received .50% nationally but .46% in Oklahoma. In 2000 Browne received .36% nationally but .53% in Oklahoma.

South Carolina Governor Appoints New U.S. Senator, Creating a Vacancy in U.S. House that will be Filled by a Special Election

On December 17, South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley appointed Congressman Tim Scott to the U.S. Senate, to fill the vacancy created when Senator Jim DeMint said he will resign very soon.

As a result of Scott’s appointment, he will resign from the House. He has been a member of the House starting in 2010, representing the First District, which is centered on Charleston. There will thus soon be a special election to fill that House seat.

Libertarian Nominee for U.S. House Almost Carries Kansas City, Kansas

At last month’s election, the only two candidates on the ballot for U.S. House, Kansas 3rd district, were Republican incumbent Kevin Yoder and Libertarian nominee Joel Balam. The district includes Wyandotte County, Kansas, which contains Kansas City, Kansas. In Wyandotte County, Balam polled 18,589 votes, and Yoder received 19,853 votes.

In the district as a whole, Balam received 92,675 votes, whereas Yoder received 201,087. Balam’s share of the vote in the district, 31.5%, is the best showing by a Libertarian for U.S. House in the party’s history. Here is Balam’s web page. He appears to have active involvement with veterans groups, and a church group. His mother was Hispanic and some of the content on the web page is in Spanish.