Two Web Pages that Track State Polls in Presidential Election Show Fairly Large Obama Lead in Electoral College

Electoral-vote and Frontloading are two blogs that have recently posted summaries of all state-based presidential polls. Frontloading has a 2012 Electoral College map, based on a weighted average of state polls, posted on July 20 that shows President Obama with 332 likely electoral votes and Mitt Romney with 206 electoral votes. Scroll down here within the July 20 entry until the map is reached.

Electoral vote blog, which constantly updates its state polls, as of July 21 is showing President Obama with 342 likely electoral votes and Mitt Romney with 196 electoral votes. See here.

Michigan Democratic Party Has Big Stake in August 7 Primary in U.S. House Race, Eleventh District

Michigan holds primaries on August 7. In the U.S. House race in the Eleventh District, the two names on the Democratic primary ballot are Dr. Syed Taj, and William Roberts. Taj is a physician, born in India; Roberts is a supporter of Lyndon LaRouche. Here is a story about that primary race.

Although the Eleventh district generally supports Republicans, this year Democrats feel they have a chance in the district, because the Republican incumbent, Thad McCotter, dropped out of the primary after it was too late for anyone else to get on the Republican primary ballot. The lone Republican who had filed against McCotter does not have the credentials or support that McCotter would have had. There are also some Republicans hoping to win the Republican primary by write-ins.

Voters often are not fully-informed about their choices in major party primaries for Congress. LaRouche supporters have won many Democratic primaries during the last 32 years. Most notably, in 1986, LaRouche supporter Mark J. Fairchild won the Illinois Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor against mainstream Democrat George Sangmeister; and in that same primary, LaRouche supporter Janice A. Hart won for Secretary of State against mainstream Democrat Aurelia Pucinski.

Michigan has open primaries. Any voter is free to choose any party’s primary ballot. Michigan’s ballot-qualified minor parties nominate by convention, not by primary, so only the Democrats and Republicans have primaries this year and most years.

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Web Page Discusses Independent Candidate Angus King, but not Democratic Nominee Cynthia Dill

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee web page lists “races to watch” here. If one scrolls down to the entry for Maine, one sees that the web page discusses independent candidate Angus King in a positive manner, but does not discuss the Democratic nominee, Cynthia Dill. This story about that race says that Dill is unhappy with the Committee.

Pennsylvania Democratic Party Files Lawsuit to Disqualify One of its Legislative Nominees

On July 20, the Pennsylvania Democratic Party and some voters filed a lawsuit in state court to disqualify one of the party’s own legislative nominees, Bill DeWeese. He won the Democratic primary in April this year, but on primary day he was sentenced to between 30 months and 60 months in prison. If elected in November, he will not be able to serve, unless his conviction is reversed on appeal. See this story. If he is removed from the November ballot, the party is free to choose a new nominee. He could withdraw but he refuses to do that.

California Top-Two Open Primary Produces November Election Contest Between Two Conservative Republicans, Beth Gaines and Andy Pugno

The California Assembly vote in the June 5 primary in the 6th district was: incumbent Republican Beth B. Gaines 38,827; Republican Andy Pugno 33,382; Democrat Regy Bronner 32,573. Because of California’s top-two open primary rules, the only two candidates who can run in November are the two Republicans. Both are conservative. See this story, focusing on the fact that Pugno had said before the primary that if the top two vote-getters were Gaines and himself, and that if Gaines received more votes, he would not campaign in November. Now it appears he will campaign.

Supporters of top-two would say this outcome is good for Democrats, because now they have the privilege of helping decide which Republican gets elected.