Poll Shows New York City Democratic Party Run-off Primary Very Likely to Occur

A Marist Poll released May 28 shows that no Democratic candidate for Mayor of New York city now enjoys more than 24% of the Democratic electorate.  This makes it very likely that a run-off primary will be needed.  State law says New York city mayoral primaries need a run-off if no one gets at least 40%.  New York city election administration almost certainly will change this year, because the current rules for a mayoral run-off are unworkable.  There isn’t enough time to hold a run-off.  Thanks to PoliticalWire for the link.

Political Science Paper on How Political Parties Control Nominations in Open Primary States

Political science professor Hans Hassell of Cornell College in Iowa has posted a paper, “The Non-existent Primary-Ideology Link, or Do Open Primaries Actually Limit Party Influence in Primary Elections?”  He finds that in open primary states in which a major party has a fair chance of winning a seat, the party organization is able to help its preferred nominee, and discourage candidates it doesn’t like, by using its influence over individuals and organizations that make big donations.

The paper only deals with open primary states, not top-two primary states.

U.S. Supreme Court Issues Opinions on May 28, but Not Either of the Two Pending Election Law Decision

The U.S. Supreme Court issued opinions on May 28, but did not issue the opinion in either of the two pending election law cases.  The opinions in those two cases will therefore appear on one of the four Mondays in June.  The two cases are:  (1) Shelby County, Alabama v Holder, 12-96, over the federal Voting Rights Act; (2) Arizona v InterTribal Council of Arizona, 12-71, over the federal “motor voter” act of 1993 concerning voter registration.

Newspaper Story Covers Issue of Senator Ted Cruz’ Canadian Birthplace, Relative to Presidential Qualifications in U.S. Constitution

This story notes that U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas was born in Canada, and analyzes what various commentators have said about his qualifications to be President.  The story erroneously says that U.S. Senator John McCain was born in the Panama Canal Zone.  Actually he was born in Colon, Panama, which was virtually surrounded by the Canal Zone, but was not part of it.  Thanks to Sam Harley for the link.