Illinois Green Party Files Lawsuit Against Procedures for Getting on Ballot in April 2013 Special U.S. House Election

On December 17, the Illinois Green Party, and its nominee for U.S. House, 2nd district, in the upcoming April 2013 special election, filed a lawsuit against the ballot access requirements for non-qualified parties and independent candidates.

The bill, setting the date for the special election, was signed on December 3, 2012, so theoretically the Green Party was free on the following day to start collecting signatures. The law demands 15,682 valid signatures by February 4. The signatures are due even before the special primary (the Green Party, of course, would not be involved with the primary; the primary is only for Republicans and Democrats).

The Green Party did nominate a candidate on December 4. He is LeAlan Jones. He had been the Green Party nominee for U.S. Senate in November 2010, and had polled 3.65% in the special U.S. Senate election, 129,571 votes. In the regular 2010 U.S. Senate election he had polled 3.18%, or 117,914 votes.

The Fourth, Tenth and Eleventh Circuits have previously ruled that when the normal length of time for petitioning is not available, states must either reduce the number of signatures proportionate to the amount of time lost, or else extend the deadline. The normal petitioning period in Illinois is 90 days, but in this special election, only 62 days are allowed, so at a minimum the state ought to either shrink the petition requirement to approximately two-thirds of what it would be otherwise, or else extend the deadline. There is no practical reason why the signatures are due before the primary. The new lawsuit is Jones v McGuffage, northern district, 12-cv-9997.

On December 21, independent candidate Marcus Lewis filed papers, seeking to intervene in the case on the side of the Green Party. Lewis was on the ballot as an independent for the 2nd district race in November 2012. He polled 13.44% of the vote (he had needed 5,000 signatures to get on the ballot for that election). He wants to run in the upcoming special election. Ironically, if he had formed a new party for the November 2012 election, instead of running as an independent candidate, he would now have an extremely easy route on to the special election ballot in April; his 13.44% share of the vote would have created a new ballot-qualified party just in the 2nd district.

Hawaii Won’t Have a Special U.S. House Election After All

On December 26, Hawaii Governor Neil Abercrombie chose Lieutenant Governor Brian Schatz to fill the vacancy in the U.S. Senate. The vacancy exists because Senator Daniel Inouye died last week. Inouye had asked the Governor to appoint Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa to his seat, but the Governor did not do that. Because Hanabusa was not appointed, there is no vacancy in the U.S. House from Hawaii.

Pew Research Center Study Suggests Black Voter Turnout May Have Surpassed White Turnout in 2012, for First Time

On December 26, the Pew Research Center released this report about voting in November 2012. The Center believes it is likely, although not certain, that black voter turnout was higher than white voter turnout. The data refers to the percentages of all adult eligible citizens who participated in the election. Blacks are 12% of the adult population but 13% of the votes were cast by blacks.

Over 22% of Voters in California’s 31st U.S. House District Voted for President, but Cast No Vote for U.S. House

At the November 6 election, voters in the 31st U.S. House district cast 207,095 votes for President. But those same voters only cast 161,219 votes for U.S. House, which means that 22.2% of the voters in that district chose to abstain from voting for U.S. House. This is undoubtedly because the ballot only listed two Republicans for U.S. House, and did not permit write-ins. So, many voters in that district disliked both candidates, and therefore abstained.

There are always some voters who cast a vote for President and then fail to vote for U.S. House. For example, in 2008, in California, 8.6% of the voters who voted for President did not vote for U.S. House. Obviously, though, there is a significant difference between 22.2% and 8.6%.

The vote in November 2012 for President inside the 31st district was: Obama 118,043; Romney 83,822; Johnson 2,027; Barr 822; Stein 807; Hoefling 721; various write-ins for President 853. The vote for U.S. House for the two Republicans was: Gary Miller 88,964; Bob Dutton 72,255. The 31st district is entirely in San Bernardino County.

Gary Johnson Dismisses Lawsuit Against Commission on Presidential Debates

On December 14, Gary Johnson dismissed his lawsuit against the Commission on Presidential Debates. The case, which had been filed on October 18, 2012, just prior to the last major party presidential debate (held October 22), had alleged that Johnson satisfied the criteria for inclusion. The rules say that three polls must show that the candidate is at 15% or higher. Johnson submitted three polls, in which respondents were only asked if they preferred President Obama or Gary Johnson, and in all three polls, Johnson scored far higher than 15%.

Because the case had been filed so late, relative to the debate itself, no ruling was ever made in this case. Now that the election is over, Johnson and his attorneys saw no further need for the lawsuit.

It will be interesting to see if the Commission on Presidential Debates revises its rules before the 2016 election, to set forth rules on how many presidential candidates, and which candidates, must be included in the various polls that determine eligibility. It is conceivable that new rules would at least encourage pollsters to be more attentive to including all presidential candidates who are on the ballot in states containing enough electoral votes to be elected. Many leading polls do not bother to include anyone except the two major party presidential candidates.