Washington Post-ABC News General Election Poll Shows Ron Paul at 21% If He Ran Outside Major Parties

On December 20, a Washington Post-ABC News Poll was released for the general election presidential race. The poll assumes that Ron Paul were running against both major party nominees, and tested that scenario against an Obama-Gingrich race and also against an Obama-Romney race. No matter which of the two is the Republican nominee, Paul is at 21%. See this story.

The results: Obama 42%, Romney 32%, Paul 21%, other or undecided 5%. Alternatively, Obama 43%, Gingrich 32%, Paul 21%, other or undecided 4%.

Buddy Roemer Files for Republican Texas Presidential Primary

On December 16, Buddy Roemer filed for the Texas presidential primary, which requires a $5,000 filing fee. He will be one of nine candidates on the ballot. The others are Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum. The primary will be April 3.

Roemer’s stance is that he is simultaneously seeking the Americans Elect nomination and the Republican nomination.

North Carolina Redistricting Lawsuit Might Force a Later Primary, and Later Petition Deadlines for Independent Candidates

Last month, some Democratic Party activists and their allies filed two lawsuits against the new district boundaries for North Carolina U.S. House seats and legislative seats. The cases are in state court and are called Dickson v Rucho, and North Carolina State Conference of NAACP v North Carolina.

The boundaries were drawn by the Republican-majority state legislature, and the lawsuits charge that the boundaries violate the State Constitution because they split too many communities and counties unnecessarily, and also that too many districts are either overwhelmingly black or overwhelming white. See this story from last week, describing the lawsuits.

On December 19, a lower state court held a scheduling conference in the case, and set an oral argument for January 12 on the state’s motion to dismiss the lawsuits. If the state fails to win that, then there will be a trial, probably in March 2012 at the earliest. North Carolina’s primary is set for May 8, but if there is a trial, it seems very likely the primary will need to be postponed. If that happens, the state will be forced to extend the independent candidate deadline to a later date. Currently, independent candidate petitions are due June 14. Court precedents in the 4th circuit say that the independent candidate petition deadline cannot be earlier than the primary. Any extension of the petition deadline would help. North Carolina independent candidate petition requirements are so bad, no independent has ever qualified for any statewide office (except President), and none has ever appeared on a government-printed ballot for U.S. House either. In 2004, when redistricting was delayed, the state temporariy set the independent candidate petition deadline in July.