California Referendum Petition on State Senate District Boundaries has Uncertain Effect on 2012 Election

Most of the nation’s large-population states are having difficulty completing the redistricting process in time for the 2012 election. Among those states is California, which has an independent redistricting commission. Republican activists filed a referendum petition against the State Senate districts drawn by the commission. However, according to this story, the validity of the referendum petition won’t be established until mid-March 2012, after the process for candidates to file for the primary ballot has begun.

Proponents of the referendum petition say the new boundaries should not be implemented, even if the referendum petition’s validity hasn’t yet been determined. Proponents of the current boundaries disagree.

Ballotpedia Carries Data on Cost per Signature to Put Initiatives on Ballot

Ballotpedia has this article, with data on how much it cost to put 2010 initiatives on the statewide ballot of all the states that had statewide initiatives that year. The average cost to get an initiative on 2010 ballots was $3.29 per required signatures. Although 49 statewide initiatives qualified in 2010, only four of them got on the ballot without hiring a petition management company.

Arizona Republican Governor, Legislators Debate Whether to Ask Voters to Repeal Independent Districting Commission

This story focuses on an internal Republican Party disagreement in Arizona on whether to put a ballot measure on the presidential primary ballot set for February 28 to repeal the Independent Redistricting Commission. The Governor must call a special session by November 30 to make that happen. Most neutral observers would probably say that it is unfair to put such a partisan measure on the presidential primary ballot, when it is expected that the only parties holding a presidential primary will be the Republican and Green Parties.

If Arizona didn’t have an Independent Redistricting Commission, the legislature and the Governor would be in charge of redistricting, and Republicans control both those branches of government. So repealing authorization for the Commission is something that, likely, Democrats would oppose strongly. But because there will be no Democratic presidential primary, turnout of Democrats would probably be very low.

ABC News Story on Presidential Candidates Outside the Two Major Parties

ABC News has this story about the 2012 presidential election, and alternatives to the two major parties. Like many other stories, this story quotes an authority who says that if someone were elected President who wasn’t the nominee of either of the two major parties, that person would not be able to work with Congress. In this case the quoted authority is Professor Jonathan Ladd.

It is surprising that people who make this point never seem to remember that the U.S. has had six minor party or independent Governors elected in the last 40 years (two in Maine, and one each in Minnesota, Alaska, Connecticut, and Rhode Island), and that these Governors did work with their state legislatures and did get things done.

Independent Political Report Story Says Gary Johnson Extremely Likely to Seek the Libertarian Party Presidential Nomination

Independent Political Report has this story, saying Gary Johnson’s campaign manager has said that the probability that Gary Johnson will seek the Libertarian Party presidential nomination is 99%.

The Libertarian Party was able to place its presidential nominee on the ballot in either 50 states, or 49 states, in 1980, 1992, 1996, and 2000. The Libertarian Party has a possibility of placing its presidential nominee on the ballot of all 50 states in 2012. Much will depend on whether the party’s national officers decide to spend money on the ongoing Oklahoma petition drive, which currently has 30,000 signatures. The law requires 51,739 valid signatures by March 2012.

A newspaper story recently reported that Americans Elect will have spent $10,000,000 on ballot access, by the time petitioning for the 2012 election is over. 50-state ballot access for a party (other than the Democratic and Republican Parties) is a precious asset. Yet some members of the Libertarian Party National Committee are reluctant to spend relatively small amounts of money on ballot access during the odd years before presidential election years, even though petitioning in the odd years before election years is less expensive.