Matthew Dowd Essay on Chances of a Strong “Other” Presidential Candidate in 2012

Matthew Dowd has this column in the Huffington Post on the chances of a powerful presidential candidate in 2012 who is not the nominee of either the Democratic or Republican Parties. The column says that if no one gets a majority in the Electoral College, and the U.S. House chooses the President, Republicans have an advantage. The piece says that Republicans virtually always carry more states. This is not correct. In 2008, Republicans only carried 22 states; in 1996, they only carried 19; in 1992, they only carried 18.

One must go back to 1976 to find an election at which the Democrats won, but the Republicans carried more states. In 1976, Gerald Ford carried 27 states but still lost the election. Thanks to Peter Gemma for the link. The article originally appeared in the National Journal.

New Mexico 2010 State Tax Forms Illegally Omit Libertarian, Constitution, Independent Parties on Voluntary Contributions Schedule

New Mexico is one of twelve states that lets state income taxpayers choose to send a contribution to the political party of the voter’s choice. New Mexico’s Tax Code says in section 7-2-31 that all parties qualified under section 1-7-2(A) are to be listed on the state income tax form, on the Voluntary Contributions Schedule.

However, the 2010 state income tax forms only list the Democratic and Republican Parties, even though when these forms were printed (in late 2010), the Libertarian, Constitution, and Independent Parties were ballot-qualified. This is the second time New Mexico tax forms have been prepared improperly; the 2007 forms had the same deficiency. The qualified minor parties complained in 2008, and the 2008 and 2009 tax forms did include the minor parties.

The political culture of New Mexico seems to encourage this type of behavior. New Mexico ballots in recent year have included a straight-ticket device, but only for the Democratic and Republican Parties. There is no authority in the law for any straight-ticket devices, but New Mexico ballots traditionally have had them anyway. Starting in 2006 the straight-ticket devices disappeared for the minor parties. The current Secretary of State says she won’t print any straight-ticket device for any party in 2012.

Poll Shows No Candidate has Majority Support in Nevada Special U.S. House Election

On September 13, Nevada elects a new member of Congress in the 2nd (northern) district. A Public Policy Polling poll released August 23 shows: Republican Mark Amodei 43%, Democrat Kate Marshall 42%, Independent American Party nominee Tim Fasano 3%, independent candidate Helmuth Lehmann 3%, undecided 8%. Thanks to Political Wire for the link.

New Hampshire GOP Chair Says he Withdrew His Name from Libertarian Party Petition

This news story says that Jack Kimball, New Hampshire Republican state chair, has arranged to delete his signature from the Libertarian Party’s ballot access petition. He says he thought he was signing for just a single Libertarian candidate, and hadn’t realized that he was signing a petition to put the party itself on the 2012 ballot. But he is still being pressed to resign, and the national Republican Party is apparently withholding at least $100,000 from the New Hampshire Republican Party unless Kimball resigns.