Texas Redistricting blog here says that an April 17 primary for Texas is more likely than an April 3 primary. If the primary does indeed get moved to April 17, independent presidential candidates will only have 27 days to collect 80,778 valid signatures of voters who didn’t vote in the primaries. It is conceivable that the 3 federal judges within Texas who are hearing the redistricting case will notice the unfairness to independent presidential candidates. If they notice it, they have the authority to change the petition deadline.
All 29 states (as well as the District of Columbia) that have registration by party have now released fairly current registration data. The new data in all cases is as of September 2011, October 2011, November 2011, December 2011, or January 2012.
National totals show Democrats with 42.64% of the registered voters in those states, Republicans with 30.79%, independents 24.37%, and minor parties at 2.19%.
These percentages are very similar to the data from October and November 2010. Those figures showed: Democrats 42.98%, Republicans 30.58%, independents 24.27%, and minor parties at 2.17%.
On December 22, 2011, USA Today published a story that claimed that recent registration data shows that voters are “leaving the major parties in droves”, but that article did not provide any data. The report seems to be untrue. The February 1, 2012 printed Ballot Access News will include the registration by state for each party.
On January 31, the Oklahoma Libertarian Party, and the Oklahoma Green Party, filed a lawsuit in U.S. District Court against the Oklahoma petition deadline for newly-qualifying parties. The 2011 session of the legislature moved that deadline from May 1 to March 1. The case is called Libertarian Party of Oklahoma et al v Zeriax. The case number is civ12-119. The case was assigned to U.S. District Court Judge Timothy DeGiusti, a Bush Jr. appointee who has never before had a ballot access case. UPDATE: here is the Complaint.
The January 31 Tacoma News-Tribune has this op-ed by John S. Mills, explaining that the Washington state top-two system has given voters greatly restricted choice in Washington state general elections. Mills focuses on the disappearance of minor party candidates from the November ballot.
Although his op-ed does not say so, minor party or independent candidates appeared on the November ballot in Washington state for Congress, or statewide office, or both, in all elections from statehood in 1890 through 2006. But when Washington switched to the top-two system, minor parties ceased appearing on the November ballot, except for President (top-two systems never apply to presidential elections), and except for a handful of legislative races in which only one major party member ran. Thanks to Will Baker for the link.
On January 31, the Kentucky presidential primary ballots were set. The Republican ballot will list Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and uncommitted. The Democratic ballot will list President Obama and uncommitted.
Presidential candidates get on Kentucky primary ballots by presenting evidence that they are on the ballot in at least 20 other states, and by paying a filing fee of $1,000. The Kentucky primary is May 22.