Canadian Poll Suggests Greens May Win 2 Seats in Parliament

Canada will be holding a national election this year, although the date isn’t set yet.  This EKOS Poll says that the Green Party is likely to win two seats, one in British Columbia and one in Ontario.

The Green Party of Canada has not yet won any seats in Parliament.

The poll also projects these national popular vote percentages:  Conservative 31.0%, Liberal 27.7%, New Democratic 16.5%, Green 13.0%, Bloc Quebecois 9.3%.

Court Hearing Set for June 25 in Nebraska Case Against Ban on Out-of-State Circulators

U.S. District Court Judge Joseph Bataillon will hold a hearing in Citizens in Charge v Gale on June 25 at 2:30 pm.  This hearing will deal only with the issue of whether Nebraska can ban out-of-state circulators.  The Libertarian Party, a co-plaintiff, is trying to petition onto the ballot and needs 5,921 valid signatures by August 1.  The drive is complicated because the party needs approximately one-third of those signatures from each of the state’s three U.S. House districts.

The hearing is at the federal courthouse in Omaha at 111 South 18th Plaza.

U.S. District Court in Colorado Issues Injunction Against Ban on Paying Petitioners per Signature

On June 11, U.S. District Court Judge Philip A. Brimmer, a Bush Jr. appointee, issued an injunction against a Colorado law that virtually bans paying circulators on a per signature basis.  The Independence Institute v Buescher, 10-cv-00609.  The case had been filed on March 15, 2010.

The injunction was issued after a trial, at which a great deal of evidence was presented.  A key witness was Professor Daniel Smith of the University of Florida, an expert on ballot questions who has examined actual petitions looking for evidence of forged signatures, and has conducted other types of research on petitioning as well.  He testified, “I honestly don’t think that the pay per signature model necessarily induces fraud.”   Also, the state’s expert witness, Ted Blaszak, testified that fraud is seldom committed by professional petitioners.  The evidence also showed that a ban on paying per signatures increases the cost of getting a measure or a candidate on the ballot, and also that many of the best circulators will not work unless they are paid on a per signature basis.  The injunction is 39 pages and distinguishes the precedents that have upheld a ban on paying per signature, by finding that in those cases, there was little or no evidence presented.  Thanks to Paul Jacob for this news.

Poll Shows 25% of Voters Would Prefer to Vote for an Independent or Minor Party Candidate for Congress This Year

This Hart/McInturff poll conducted for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, and released on June 24, asked voters “If the choices in your district had the following, would you be more likely to vote for a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent/Third Party Candidate for Congress?”

The results:  Republican 31%, Democratic 34%, independent/third party 25%, not sure 10%.  Scroll down to question 12 for these results.

The poll also learned that 46% of voters are comfortable with the idea of voting for minor party or independent candidates.  Thanks to Firedoglake for the link.  Here is Firedoglake’s commentary about the poll, which was conducted June 17-21.

Professor Rick Hasen, Election Law Expert, Says Doe v Reed Opinion Will Help Ballot Access Lawsuits

Election law Professor Rick Hasen says in his ElectionLawBlog that the June 24 opinion from the U.S. Supreme Court in Doe v Reed will help ballot access lawsuits.  He writes, “It seems to me that the majority opinion silently overrules earlier cases, Burdick v Takushi and Timmons v Twin Cities Area New Party, rejecting the idea that voting is a form of First Amendment protective activity.  The Court in those cases said that ballots are not fora for political expression.  I expect various plaintiffs in ballot access cases and elsewhere will try to use the Doe discussion of voting and related activities as protected by the First Amendment to argue for increased access to the ballot.”

Burdick v Takushi, a 1992 decision of the U.S. Supreme Court, upheld Hawaii’s practice of not providing any space on ballots for write-in votes.  Burdick v Takushi says on page 438, “Attributing to elections a more generalized expressive function would undermine the ability of States to operate elections fairly and efficiently.”  Also, on page 441, “The objection to the specific ban on write-in voting amounts to nothing more than the insistence that the State record, count, and publish individual protests against the election system or the choices presented on the ballot through the efforts of those who actively participate in the system.  There are other means available, however, to voice such generalized dissension from the electoral process.”

Timmons v Twin Cities Area New Party, on page 363, says, “Ballots serve primarily to elect candidates, not as fora for political expression.”

By contrast, today’s Doe v Reed decision says about petitions, on page six, “Respondents (the state) counter that signing a petition is a legally operative legislative act and therefore does not involve any significant expressive element.  It is true that signing a referendum petition may ultimately have the legal consequence of requiring the secretary of state to place the referendum on the ballot.  But we do not see how adding such legal effect to an expressive activity somehow deprives that activity of its expressive component, taking it outside the scope of the First Amendment…Petition signing remains expressive even when it has legal effect.”

If voting, and signing a petition, are both expressive activity, then they are protected by the free speech part of the First Amendment, and have substantial protection.

Strangely enough, Justice Antonin Scalia’s concurrence says, “We have acknowledged the existence of a First Amendment interest in voting” and then cites to Burdick v Takushi, but he doesn’t provide a page number within Burdick v Takushi to support that conclusion.  I have just re-read Burdick v Takushi and I don’t see anything in Burdick v Takushi that supports the idea that Burdick v Takushi agrees that voting is protected by the First Amendment.  Maybe another reader can find something.