This Quinnipiac Poll, released April 12, shows that Andrew Cuomo, the presumed Democratic Party nominee for Governor of New York, has a more than 2:1 lead over each potential Republican nominee for Governor. Cuomo’s lead over Rick Lazio is 55% to 26%, and the Cuomo lead over other potential Republicans is even greater.
Assuming this race doesn’t change much, 2010 will be a very favorable environment for minor parties that are not ballot-qualified to become ballot-qualified. New York gives groups only one method to become ballot-qualified: to poll at least 50,000 votes for Governor. Voters tend to be aware of polls, and when voters realize the race is, in realistic terms, already settled, they are more willing to vote for a minor party.
The last time a New York gubernatorial race was so overwhelmingly one-sided, in 1990, both the New Alliance Party and the Libertarian Party polled more votes for Governor of New York than at any time in their history, both before and after. In 1990, the New Alliance Party polled 31,089 votes for Governor and the Libertarian Party polled 24,611 votes. Neither party reached the 50,000 vote goal in 1990, but they came closer in 1990 than in any other year.
The New Alliance Party no longer exists as a political party, but the same people who comprised the New Alliance Party are still working together, in the Committee for a Unified Independence Party (CUIP), which seems to be gradually changing its name to Independent Voting.