Nader Asks Commission on Presidential Debates for Admittance into Audience

On October 14, Ralph Nader sent this letter to Janet Brown, Executive Director, Commission on Presidential Debates, 1200 New Hampshire Ave. NW, Washington DC 20036:

“Dear Ms. Brown, in a spirit of fairness, since you won’t allow us in the debates or release the secret polls that you rely on to figure out which candidates meet your threshold of 15% national support, I would like to ask that you allow me, and the three other third party Presidential candidates who are on the majority of state ballots, the common courtesy to at least have a seat at the debates among the audience.

As a secondary point, I would like to ask you to make public which polls the Commission on Presidential Debates relied upon to determine who is allowed into the Debate. We have reason for concern on this matter, as it appears that some major polling organizations, Gallup to name one that you have used in the past, claim to include third parties, but on closer inspection this is only true one out of every 200 times.

Gallup’s daily tracking poll asks voters if they support Obama, McCain, neither, or someone else. Because millions of Americans don’t know we or the other third party candidates are running, less than half a percent say someone else. It is an accepted rule of thumb in polling to go from the general to the specific, not the other way around. As evidence for this, in polls that mention me by name in the primary question, such as the Sept. 24 Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, I get 5% support nationally. This is still far from the 15% threshold that your considerably inflated criteria requires, but it would be rather disingenious bordering on fraudulent to base a criteria on a threshold in polls, which you don’t even bother to admit may not even be polling the candidates other than those of the Republican and Democratic Parties that created and control the CPD. For Fairness and the Voters Right to Know, Ralph Nader.” UPDATE: according to the Nader campaign, the e-mail address for Janet Brown is jb@debates.org.

Oregon 3-Candidate Poll for U.S. Senate

On October 13, SurveyUSA released the results of a poll for the U.S. Senate race in Oregon. The results: Jeff Merkley (Dem.) 46%, Gordon Smith (Rep.) 41%, David Brownlow (Constitution) 7%, undecided 6%.

The Constitution Party’s best showing in a U.S. Senate race in its entire history was in Ohio in 1994, when Joseph Slovenec polled 7.33% in a race that also had a Democrat and a Republican.

Finally, a 3-Way North Carolina Gubernatorial Debate

North Carolina is one of a handful of states in which no televised gubernatorial or U.S. Senatorial debate has ever included a minor party or independent candidate, debating both his or her major party opponents.

Earlier this year, the University of North Carolina’s TV station, WUNC, sponsored gubernatorial debates and invited the only ballot-listed minor party candidate, Michael Munger, to participate. But the Democratic nominee, Beverly Perdue, refused to participate. WUNC went ahead and held debates on September 24 and October 8 that included only Munger and the Republican nominee, Patrick McCrory.

Now, Perdue has finally agreed to participate in a 3-way debate, which will be held October 15 at 7 p.m. That debate is sponsored by several TV stations and the Charlotte League of Women Voters. Thanks to Brian Irving for this news.

Georgia Presidential Poll Shows Increase for "Other" Compared to Two Weeks Ago

SurveyUSA released a presidential poll for Georgia on October 13. The results: McCain 51%, Obama 43%, other 4%, undecided 2%. Barr is the only “other” choice on the ballot, but write-ins are permitted.

The same polling company released a similar poll two weeks ago, which showed “Other” at only 2% in Georgia. See here for the current poll, which is broken down by interesting demographic characteristics.

Georgia Presidential Poll Shows Increase for “Other” Compared to Two Weeks Ago

SurveyUSA released a presidential poll for Georgia on October 13. The results: McCain 51%, Obama 43%, other 4%, undecided 2%. Barr is the only “other” choice on the ballot, but write-ins are permitted.

The same polling company released a similar poll two weeks ago, which showed “Other” at only 2% in Georgia. See here for the current poll, which is broken down by interesting demographic characteristics.