On April 2, the Republican Party’s National Rules Committee issued its recommendations for presidential primary timing in 2012 and beyond. If the Republican Party National Committee approves the idea in August, and if the Republican Party’s national convention Rules Committee approves the idea, and the full national convention also approves the idea, then it will be party policy.
The plan would be that Iowa would go first with its caucus, followed by the New Hampshire primary, both in the first week of February. South Carolina could holds its primary, and Nevada could hold its caucus, as soon after New Hampshire as they wish.
Then the 20 smallest population states and territories would hold their events, during the third week of February. The remaining states would be divided into three groups. A lottery would be held to determine the order of the events for the next three groups. The winning group would hold its events during the first week in March. The second group would hold its events in the fourth week in March, and the last group in the 3rd full week in April. Thus, the season would be all over by April. By contrast, under the existing system, there are presidential primaries in May and June.
The 20 small states, plus territories, that would hold events in late February would be Alaska, Delaware, D.C., Hawaii, Idaho, Maine, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Vermont, West Virginia, Wyoming, American Samoa, Guam, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Northern Mariana Islands.
The larger states, which would participate in a lottery to see which groups went first, are grouped this way:
Group X: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin (16 states).
Group Y: Arizona, California, Connecticut, Indiana, Massachusetts, New Jersey, North Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia (9 states).
Group Z: Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania (7 states).
Thanks to Rob Richie and Rick Hasen for this news.