Why Didn’t Greens or Libertarians Elect Any State Legislators?

The only nationally-organized minor party that elected any state legislators this month was the Constitution Party, in Montana. Greens and Libertarians had expected to elect some also.

Greens already had one state representative in Maine, John Eder of Portland. He was defeated for re-election in a 2-person race with 48.4% of the vote, in the 118th House district.

In Maine’s 119th House district, Green Matthew Reading polled 41.8% in a 3-party race, easily defeating his Republican opponent but losing to his Democratic opponent by about 150 votes.

In Maine’s 120th House district, Green Ben Meiklejohn, a member of the Portland School Board, polled 43.1% in a two-person race, losing to an incumbent Democrat.

Easing the sting for Maine Greens was the fact that they elected their first members to the Portland City Council. City council elections are non-partisan. Kevin Donaghue, 27, won his 3-person race with 47.4% of the vote. David Marshall, 28, won his 3-way race with 45.4% of the vote. No Portland Green member had ever before been elected to the Portland city council, which has nine members.

Portland’s School Committee continues to have four Greens, from a total membership of nine. One incumbent Green was defeated for re-election, but in another district, Greens gained a member.

Libertarians hoped for some legislative victories in Vermont, since five Libertarians had won the Republican primary, as well as the Libertarian convention nomination. However, all five were defeated in the general election. The closest showing was in the Rutland 5-1 House district, where Jeff Manney lost a two-person race with 43.6% of the vote. The second closest showing was in the Grand Isle-Chitten House district, where Hardy Machia lost a two-person race with 37.2% of the vote. The others polled 24.0%, 30.2%, and 28.9%.

Approximately 690,000 Signatures Needed for 2008 Presidential Candidate

The presidential nominee of a new party, or an independent candidate, will need approximately 690,000 valid signatures to get on the ballot of all 50 states and D.C. in 2008. This assumes the candidate is pragmatic and uses the easier method to get on the ballot in each state. In some states the independent method is easier; in others the new party procedure is easier. “Easier” is defined as the procedure used more often in the past. Thus, in California, where the independent procedure has been used more often than the new party procedure during the last 35 years, the independent petition is in the tally, not the new party method.

In 2004, the requirement was 634,727. The states in which the requirements went up most sharply are Arizona and Michigan, because they had much higher turnout in 2006 than in 2002. Also West Virginia is much higher, because turnout in 2004 was much higher than in 2000.

The 2008 requirement is the highest number since 1992, when it was 695,208.

The full party petition procedures for New Hampshire and Oklahoma are not in the tally. Interestingly, both of them are somewhat easier in 2008 than they were in 2004, because of lower voter turnout in those two states in 2006 than in 2002. In New Hampshire, the full party petition in 2004 was 13,260, but for 2008 it will be 12,106. And in Oklahoma, it was 51,781 in 2004 but will be 46,324 in 2008, although that number may rise slightly before the official tally is complete.

National Vote Totals for Each Party, for Top Office

At the November 7, 2006 election, each political party received this number of votes for the top office on the ballot: Democratic 40,264,560 (49.28%); Republican 37,379,872 (45.75%), Green 949,185 (1.16%), Libertarian 778,395 (.95%), Constitution 193,063 (.24%), Reform 97,677 (.12%), other parties that had their own nominees 245,289 (.30%), Independent Candidates 1,797,050 (2.20%).

Top-most office means Governor, in the 36 states that elected a Governor. For the others, it means U.S. Senate. In the three states that didn’t elect either, it is U.S. House.

In most states, the figures are still unofficial, so these totals will eventually be somewhat different.

Using this benchmark (the vote in the nation for the top-most office), this was the best mid-term year the Green Party has ever had, and the second best mid-term year the Libertarian Party ever had (2002 was better for Libertarians than 2006, partly because the party was on the ballot in more states in 2002 than it was in 2006).

New Registration Data

Every year starting in 1992, the paper edition of Ballot Access News has carried a chart showing how many registered voters there are in each party, in each state. These charts have been prepared only in even-numbered years (usually twice). Odd-year charts have not been prepared, since some states don’t do any registration tallies in odd years.

Although registration data is still outstanding for 5 states, it appears that the October 2006 data, for the first time since before 1992, will show that the percentage of independents has declined, compared to the previous chart (the previous chart was as of June 2006, and is in the July 1 2006 BAN). The percentage of voters registered as Democrats, as Republicans, and as members of other parties, by contrast, has all increased between June and October 2006.

Constitution Party Chooses a Stand-in Presidential Candidate

Most states enable a group that is not yet a qualified party, but which wants to become a qualified party, to circulate a petition that has the sole function of qualifying that group as a party. Such petitions are commonly called “party petitions”, and do not carry the names of any candidates.

Unfortunately, eleven states don’t have such “party petitions”, or any other procedure for turning a group into a qualified party in advance of any election. These eleven “bad” states force a group to circulate a candidate petition. If the candidate polls enough votes, then the group becomes a qualified party.

In these states that require candidate petitions to be circulated, it is generally legal for a group that wishes to start before it has chosen its presidential nominee to show a stand-in presidential candidate on the petition. Then, when the party chooses its actual presidential candidate, the stand-in withdraws and the group is permitted to substitute the name of the actual candidate.

Minor parties with experience understand this, and generally choose a stand-in presidential candidate. The Constitution Party has already chosen its stand-in presidential candidate. He is Jim Clymer, the party’s national chair, and already petitions with his name are being prepared for the Constitution Party of West Virginia, which wants to begin petitioning very soon.