California Releases New Registration Data; All Qualified Parties Increase; Independent Voters Decrease

On November 6, the California Secretary of State released a Report of Registration, the first state tally since February 2019. All six of the qualified parties increased their share of the registration. The number of independent voters decreased, both as a percentage and in absolute numbers.

The new percentages are: Democratic 44.06; Republican 23.58%; American Independent 2.86%; Libertarian .84%; Green .45%; Peace & Freedom .44%; unqualified parties .56%; unknown .47%; independent (“no party preference”) 26.74%.

The percentages in February 2019 were: Democratic 43.11%; Republican 23.57%; American Independent 2.59%; Libertarian .77%; Green .44%; Peace & Freedom .38%; unqualified parties .53%; unknown .34%; independent 28.26%.

Among the unqualified parties, the Common Sense Party has 5,519, the California National Party 568, the Constitution Party 251.

The requirement for a group to become a qualified party at the recent deadline was 66,770 registrations. That equals .33% of the number of registered voters excluding the “unknown” voters. “Unknown” voters are people who were registered automatically because they have drivers licenses or state ID cards. Those voters have not expressed a decision about party membership so they are classed as “unknown”.

The Common Sense Party had claimed that it had 15,000 registrations, but the official figure is lower. The center of registered voters in the Common Sense Party is San Diego County.


Comments

California Releases New Registration Data; All Qualified Parties Increase; Independent Voters Decrease — 11 Comments

  1. How soon before only RED communists remain in CA

    — eating each other and any lunatic invaders from Mexico ???

  2. Regis pcts vs 2016 / 2018 actual vote pcts — esp those muddled *independent* folks ???

  3. That’s a huge jump for California Libertarians. According to a spreadsheet I keep, that takes national LP registration to over 600K, and a 17.5% increase since March of 2018. I’ll admit I don’t have perfect information (eg, Iowa and Maryland no longer report the separate LP number, and many states don’t update all that frequently).

    In terms of percentage by state:

    States with > 1%: Alaska, Colorado, Nebraska, Nevada, Utah
    States with >.9% but less than 1%: Idaho and Kansas
    States with .>8% but less than .9%: Arizona, California (as of this report), New Mexico

  4. Iowa does keep track of Libertarian registration, but one has to phone the Secretary of State to get the number. I have urged them to put that on their web page, but so far they won’t do that. They must keep track because of a winning lawsuit the Libertarian and Green Parties won against Iowa about a decade ago.

  5. What about Pennsylvania? Pennsylvania has a lot of registered Libertarians (relatively speaking)? I think in terms of raw numbers, out of the states that have partisan registration, Pennsylvania may be #2 behind California in number of registered Libertarians.

  6. Note the new registration figure to qualify is 67,085. It has changed from 66,770.

  7. Mark, my post is correct. The requirement is .33% of the number of registered voters excluding “unknown” voters.

  8. Pennsylvania does have the 2nd highest number of registered Libertarians, but they’re in decline. PA had 4,000 fewer in Nov 2018 (44,848) than in Nov 2016 (48,966). At the rate North Carolina has been climbing, it will surpass PA by Nov 2020.

    I have 580,036 on my spreadsheet, but I’m assuming Maryland is zero. And, as Tom said, a half dozen states are from 2018 because they don’t report it online and several more are from very early this year. I counted 567,137 in Oct/Nov 2018, including 22,190 in Maryland. So even without updated numbers in 1/3rd of the states with registered Libertarians – and getting entirely wiped out in Maryland, Maine, and New Hampshire – the LP added 13,000.

    The increase in California between Oct 2018 and Oct 2019 almost exactly made up for the loss in Maryland.

    New Jersey and New York also put up some pretty solid gains.

    Maybe libertarian leaning Republicans in deep blue states are giving up on working within the Republican party.

  9. The increase in party membership — at expense of no party — could be paet of a larger trend or just a fluke.

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