Unlike many other prominent polling companies, Monmouth University Polls has been listing Jo Jorgensen and Howie Hawkins as choices. See the latest poll, released August 11. Scroll down to question 14. Thanks to Political Wire for the link.
Ballot Access News
Edited By Richard Winger
It’s interesting to note that Biden is slowly slipping in the polls.
Great.
This would be more relevant to the popular vote
which has a spread of around 4%. The electorate college is more relevant, will see how that plays out.
Howie’s got ’em right where he wants ’em. Time to unleash THE KRAKEN!!!
ONE more poll NOT having the question —
Are you aware of the ANTI-Democracy minority rule gerrymanders in the USA and State govts ???
Yes, I notice Biden is starting to slip too -though of course our media will either ignore or spin it in his favor.
Wz, not especially. Normal variation. Biden gained in the polls a few weeks ago, trump is gaining now. Biden still leads at this point in poll aggregates than hrc did at this point it at any point 4 years ago, and he is also at this point leading in all or almost all battleground states.
It will be interesting to see whether either or both will get a normal convention bounce this year or not, with the conventions being mostly virtual and or very limited physical this year. Biden’s vp pick will most likely have a very short term impact if any in the polls. May make some difference in targeted turnout but probably very little.
There will be plenty of other momentum changes based on actual events over the next two months and change. The biggest open question is how post office delays, increases in early in person voting and limitation of number and staffing of physical voting locations on election day will impact things. It’s likely to be a huge mess, especially if it ends up being close, which is likely.
Biden v trump multipoll performance weighted average over time
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
Doesn’t work properly from direct link. Go to their front page, scroll down to interactive, follow link to national polls. They have the aggregate polls comparison spread graphed over time followed by new ones as they come in.
Anyway, Biden’s support is soft, IMO. Like Hillary, he is gambling that Trump is so unlikable, that Biden will cruise to election. I predict that the stay-at-homes will decide the election.
Only polls in about 8 marginal 2016 Prez States count and ME CD2.
Yes, and Biden is winning all or almost all of them now.