Esri Demographics here estimates that if no new states are admitted soon, nine U.S. House seats will be reapportioned. Texas will gain 3. These states would gain one: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon. These states would each lose one: California, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Ohio, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.
The article also estimates what would happen if either Puerto Rico or the District of Columbia were admitted, and if the size of the U.S. House were not increased.
Assuming that the article is correct about Rhode Island, the Rhode Island ballot access law would then contain an anomaly. The law says candidates for U.S. Senator and Governor each need 1,000 signatures, and that U.S. House candidates need 500. If Rhode Island only has one seat in the coming decade, and the law is not amended, it would be somewhat peculiar that U.S. House, which would become a statewide office, would require only half as many signatures as for U.S. Senate and Governor.
Assuming that Montana increases from one U.S. House member to two, the Montana law can handle the situation with no need for an amendment. Section 13-10-502 says the number of signatures for an independent is 5% of the winning candidate’s vote for the same office in the last election (which is far too difficult). But it also says in case the office hadn’t existed in the last election, the Secretary of State must calculate the new requirement, presumably by imagining that the new district lines had existed in the past election, and calculating theoretical numbers within each district. This is a time-consuming task, and the Secretary of State could save herself trouble if she asked the legislature to amend the petition requirement and impose a flat number of signatures instead of a percentage.
SCOTUS pop count case pending –
20-366 Trump v NY
https://www.supremecourt.gov/docket/docketfiles/html/public/20-366.html
MANY briefs – esp by some States which may lose USA Reps.
About 760,000 pop per gerrymander district — super easy to rig pack/crack.
This would be a good time to promote the Wyoming Rule. It would proportion the House of Representatives by allotting 1 member to the least populous state (currently Wyoming, hence the name), and give every other state a number of Representatives proportional to Wyoming. The result would increase the number of House members by at least 100, and make the House of Representatives more proportional to population, which was clearly the original intent of the constitution.
California would lose a seat? Wow, has that ever happened before; usually California picks up one every reapportionment.
USA H Reps became a mob scene in 1873 due to 14 Amdt Secs 1 and 2 after 1870 Census
ex slaves = 5/5 census persons
NO ex-Union State wanted to lose a Rep seat — due to ex slave States gaining seats.
Thus — the tyrant/monarch Speakers – esp since 1910 and 435 Reps.
According to Census Estimates, Alabama would lose a representative.
Among the more interesting briefs is one filed by representatives from Alabama who argue that they will be harmed if persons unlawfully present in the country are included in the apportionment count.
They also suggest that Wesberry v Sanders was decided on the wrong basis. The US Constitution requires apportionment on the basis of population, but also that the representatives be chosen by voters eligible to vote for the larger chamber of the legislature. Federal statute requires that representatives be chosen by geographical district. Under equal protection these districts should have equal number of voters choosing their representative. But they don’t.
In California some districts have twice as many voters as others.
VOTERS ELECT LEGISLATORS — NOT CENSUS POPS.
SAME WITH AREAWIDE BALLOT ISSUES — NOT 1 DISTRICT = 1 VOTE.
—
WHAT STATES HAVE THE HIGHEST PCTS OF ILLEGAL INVADERS AS PCT OF STATE POPS. ???
CA ??? TX ??? CO ??? DUH.
SCOTUS 1964 GERRYMANDER CASES SCREWED UP THE 1 VOTER = 1 VOTE IN 1963 CASE — MERE 57 YEARS OF BAAAADE MATH —
AKIN TO THE REALLY BAAADE BALLOT ACCESS MATH SINCE 1968 WILLIAMS V RHODES.
—-
PR AND APPV
TOTSOP
https://www.census.gov/topics/public-sector/congressional-apportionment/about/computing.html
MEP — took a mere about 140 years — 1789 to 1929
akin to Advanced math — Condorcet
@DR,
Huntington-Hill was not adopted until 1941 when it was found to have the scientific property of favoring Democratic Arkansas over Republican Michigan.
Ignore Demo Rep. He’s just a MORON troll.
Will the RED communist Donkey gang change the math in 2021-2022 to get CONTROL in 2023 ???
— esp due to Rs gaining some gerrymander seats in 2020.
Democracy math —
Uniform definition of Voter in ALL of USA
Total Votes / 435 = EQUAL votes to elect
Surplus votes down
Loser votes up
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Advanced students can detect exact math ???
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_congressional_apportionment
machinations for marginal seats
NOOO mention of 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/4 CONTROL
@Walter,
I am a fan of the Wyoming rule, but I feel that a single Representative is too few with the size of the US. I want to expand it to at least 5 member in the smallest state (unless that would result in fewer than 30,000 people per Representative). Then base the proportion off that. That would result in over 2700 members, but with modern technology, that would be a moot issue.
We need fewer people in Congress, not more. Actually, fewer people in government in general.
@Tony,
No. We need more people in Congress. 435 members just doesn’t accurately represent the population of the US. But with more, we could reduce salaries and benefits. We could cut back on the need for permanent office spaces in DC, etc. They could all work remotely.
EVERYBODY in govt if RED Dems get Senate control ???
the People’s happy climate force, end poverty force, etc.
Who gets more gerrymander seats –
RED blacks or RED invaders or NEITHER ???
esp with RED donkeys losing some USA rep seats in 2021 ???
Instead of 435 people who steal our liberties, you want 2700 who steal our liberties? Are you insane?
330,000,000 / 30,000 = mere 11,000 ???
Long time past to DIVIDE USA ??? —
RED west Coast / BLUE Middle / RED east Coast
—-
PR and APPV
TOTSOP
The Wyoming Rule brings the House of Representatives to proportionality with the smallest necessary increase in the number of members.
Walter,
The Wyoming Rule with only a single member in it, still results in severe imbalances between states. If the Wyoming rule were in place today, Montana and Rhode Island would both also have only 1 representative despite having nearly double the population of Wyoming. That is why the minimum per state needs to be more than 1.
@Tony,
With more Representatives in Congress, each rep will represent fewer people. Fewer people voting them into office means that it is much easier to replace ones that “steal our liberties”.
Simple PR
Total Votes / Total Members = EQUAL votes to elect each Member [from ANY District].
USA Reps —- 100 PCT / 435 = X
Solve for X.
Even a Rep for folks who walk on their hands backwards ???