John Myers, Sacramento Bureau Chief for Los Angeles Times, Analyzes California’s Top-Two System

John Myers, Los Angeles Times Bureau Chief in Sacramento, has this analysis of California’s top-two system. There is one riveting piece of news in the article that I had missed. For the fourth time, it appears likely that the majority party in a California race has been disenfranchised. In the Fourth State Senate district, a strongly Republican district, six Republicans and two Democrats ran in the June 7, 2022 primary. The two Democrats appear to have placed first and second, leaving no Republican on the November 2022 ballot. The law bans write-in votes in general elections for congress and partisan state office, so there is nothing Republicans can do to win this seat in November.

The Fourth District has the fourth-highest Republican registration of all 40 State Senate districts, and its part of California has been represented in the State Senate by Republicans continuously for over fifty years. Here is a link to the election returns for this district. One of the Republican candidates in this week’s primary in this district is former Congressman George Radanovich, who served in Congress 1994-2010 and never came close to losing. He did not run for re-election in 2010.

The other notable point about the article is that it misleads the reader. It says that before the top-two system was in place, the Democrats and Republicans generally did not let independent voters vote in their congressional and state office primaries. The California press has consistently misreported this point. For all congressional and state office primaries from 1998 through the beginning of the top-two system in 2011, independent voters were allowed to vote in Republican and Democratic primaries. For those who don’t believe this, google “History of Political Parties That Have Adopted Party Rules Regarding No Preference Voters”, which takes one to the Secretary of State’s website. Thanks to Eric Wong for the link.

U.S. District Court Rejects Attempt by Ten Wisconsin Voters to Prevent Three Republicans from Running for Congress on “Insurrection” Grounds

On June 6, U.S. District Court Judge Lynn Adelman, a Clinton appointee, issued a ruling in Stencil v Johnson, e.d., 2:22cv-305. This is a lawsuit filed in March 2022 by ten Wisconsin voters who wanted a federal court to declare that U.S. Senator Ron Johnson, and two Republican candidates for U.S. House, are ineligible to be in Congress because of the 14th Amendment’s “insurrection” Clause.

The ruling says the case is procedurally flawed. It says the plaintiffs should have sued the Wisconsin Election Commission, not the candidates themselves.

New York Case Challenging May Petition Deadline Begins to Move Ahead

The federal lawsuit filed last year by Mayor Byron Brown of Buffalo, against the May petition deadline for independent candidates, is beginning to move ahead. All discovery must be completed by November 1, 2022 in Meadors v Erie County Board of Elections, w.d., 1:21cv-982.

There is virtual unanimity among court precedents that independent candidate petitions (for office other than president) cannot be earlier than the date on which major parties choose their nominees (except when states have very late primaries, in September). Yet New York, since 2019, has required independent candidate petitions to be submitted almost a month before the June primaries. In 2021, the U.S. District Court Judge enjoined the May petition deadline, but the Second Circuit, without explaining why, stayed his order.

California Top-Two Primary Results

California held its top-two primary on June 7. No independent candidates placed first or second for any statewide race, nor for any U.S. House race. The California press had speculated that an independent candidate might place first or second for Governor and for Attorney General. But only Democrats and Republicans placed first or second in any statewide race. All statewide races will be one Democrat versus one Republican, except that Insurance Commissioner might be two Democrats, although more votes must be counted before this is certain.

For U.S. House, there will be one minor party candidate on the November ballot. This was predictable, because in the Tenth District, the only two candidates who filed to be on the primary ballot were a Democrat and a Green.

There will be two Democrats running against each other in November in these districts: 9, 15, 16, 34, 37, and maybe 30. There are no districts with two Republicans.

All Statewide Independent Petitions, and the Petitions for the Nominees of Unqualified Parties, are Tentatively Challenged in New York

All the statewide independent petitions, and the statewide petitions for the nominees of unqualified parties, were challenged in New York. However, not all challenges will necessarily go forward. June 7 was the deadline for challengers to file “general objections”. Friday, June 10, is the deadline for those same challengers to file specific objections. Sometimes challengers file the early form but don’t follow through with the more difficult second form. Thanks to Christopher Thrasher for this news.