Geoffrey Skelley, an elections analyst for FiveThirtyEight.com, has this analysis of whether changing primary systems causes more moderate candidate to get elected. He summarizes the research and says, “no.”
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In accordance with a California law passed a few years ago, the Secretary of State has posted federal income tax returns for candidates for Governor in the upcoming September 14, 2021 election. Use this link. The page is not yet complete, and is continuing to add new entries. Thanks to California Politico for the link.
The California Secretary of State has released a tentative list of candidates for governor in the September 14 recall election. The Socialist Workers Party candidate, Dennis Richter, appears at the top of the list. Order of candidates was determined by a random drawing of letters of the alphabet, and “R” placed first. However, on the ballot itself (as opposed to the Voter Information Guide), the names of candidates are rotated by Assembly district.
The tentative copy of the Voter Information Guide, which is postally mailed to every registered voter who has not opted out of receiving the booklet, can be seen here. The instructions for candidates say, “Please list your political party preference as it is reflected on your current affidavit of registration. If you are not registered with a qualified political party, your political party preference will be indicated in the Voter Information Guide as ‘no qualified party preference’.”
Candidates are free to buy space in the Guide for a campaign statement. Minor party members who bought space for a statement are Jeffrey Hewitt, the Libertarian; both Greens, Heather Collins and Dan Kapelovitz; Michael Loebs of the California National Party; James G. Hanink of the American Solidarity Party; and Dennis Richter of the Socialist Workers Party.
Politico says 41 candidates have qualified for the California recall gubernatorial ballot. See this story. The list is not yet official. Politico says Larry Elder, a Republican somewhat well-known for his radio show, did not qualify; but the story also says that Elder says he did qualify. Thanks to Political Wire for the link. UPDATE: the Secretary of State’s tentative list only lists 33 candidates.
The U.S. Census Bureau won’t release 2020 census data until mid-August 2021. The only state that has done its legislative redistricting already is Illinois, which used census estimates to draw the new lines. Last month, some Illinois Republican leaders, and also some Illinois voters represented by the Mexican American Legal Defense Fund, both filed federal lawsuits, saying the state can’t draw valid districts until the actual census results are released.
The Republican case is McConchie v Illinois State Board of Elections, n.d., 1:21cv-3091. The MALDEF case is Contreras v Illinois State Board of Elections, n.d., 1:21cv-3139. Both cases have been consolidated. A three-judge panel heard preliminary arguments on July 14.
The Illinois legislature has not yet drawn any U.S. House districts.