Ben Jacobs, a politics reporter, has this article about Kanye West’s presidential candidacy on Medium. Toward the end, Jacobs sensibly says to the extent that West draws votes away from either major party presidential candidate, he draws votes away from President Trump.

In my opinion, Jacobs overstates that likely vote for West in the states in which he is on the ballot. Jacobs seems to suggest he could get 2%. I will predict that his vote in every state in which he is on the ballot will be under one-half of 1%. Thanks to Rick Hasen for the link.

On August 18, all the full-time judges of the Eleventh Circuit heard Jones v DeSantis, 20-11380, the Florida case over ex-felon voting. It seems somewhat likely that Florida will lose this case. This story says Judge William Pryor seemed more sympathetic to the ex-felon side than to the state’s side. Judge Pryor generally sides with state governments in voting rights cases, so if he rules for the voters, that could make all the difference. The Eleventh Circuit full-time judges are equally balanced between Republican appointees and Democratic appointees. Thanks to Rick Hasen for the link.

David Zuckerman will appear on the Vermont November ballot as a gubernatorial candidate. His ballot label will be “Progressive/Democratic.” Vermont permits fusion. The first-listed party on the ballot tells the voters that Zuckerman is a member of the Progressive Party. The Democratic Party label, which follows the word “Progressive”, tells voters that he also has the Democratic nomination. He is the current Lieutenant Governor.

Party membership in Vermont is nebulous, because Vermont does not have registration by party.

In order to win the Progressive Party nomination, Zuckerman had to depend on write-in votes. State law does not allow his name to be printed on the ballot of more than one party, and he chose to be listed in the Democratic primary. He won the Democratic nomination at the August 11 primary, polling slightly over 50% in a 4-candidate field.

The vote in the Progressive primary was: Zuckerman 273 write-ins; and these two ballot-listed candidates: Cris Ericson, 254 votes; and Boots Wardinski, 239 votes.

In order to win the general election, Zuckerman will need to defeat incumbent Phil Scott, a Republican.