Evan McMullin Speaks, but Doesn’t Give Audience a Chance to Ask Questions

Evan McMullin addressed the public on the evening of October 5, in the Provo public library. See this story at Independent Political Report. IPR reporter Joseph Buchman was in the audience. Buchman hoped to be able to ask MuMullin some questions, but McMullin did not take questions from the audience.

One question that McMullin has not answered is why he didn’t file any constitutional ballot access cases. When he announced his campaign on August 8, he had said he would do that. He had very strong potential lawsuits against Wyoming and Florida, states which kept him off the ballot even though he satisfied the requirements.

Bangor Daily News Carries Op-Ed by Larry Diamond on Instant Runoff Voting Initiative

Maine voters will decide on November 8 whether to use Instant Runoff Voting for Congress and state office. Larry Diamond, a long-time scholar of elections and government, has this op-ed in support of the idea.

There has been at least one poll recently and it seems to show the initiative will pass. UPDATE: also see this Bloomberg View columnist’s article on why IRV would work better than the current system. Thanks to Rick Hasen for that link.

National Presidential Poll Asks About Four Presidential Candidates, and Then Asks Same Respondents to Choose Among Clinton, Trump, Prohibition, and Workers World Nominees

On October 5, Falrleigh Dickinson University released a presidential poll, which asks about Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, and Jill Stein. The results: Clinton 45%; Trump 36%; Johnson 11%; Stein 3%; other 1%; don’t know 3%; refused 1%.

Then the same respondents were asked, suppose the only presidential candidates were Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Jim Hedges of the Prohibition Party, and Monica Moorehead of the Workers World Party. The purpose was to see if the support for Johnson and Stein is genuine, or whether the respondents were telling pollsters they would vote for anyone other than Clinton and Trump. Those results: Clinton 47%; Trump 35%; Hedges 4%; Moorehead 3%; other 3% (the respondents had to volunteer that); don’t know 7%; refused 2%.

Scroll down to the third chart to see those results. Thanks to Political Wire for the link.

New California Registration Data

On October 5, the California Secretary of State released a new registration tally, as of September 9, 2016. Every qualified party gained registrations (in raw numbers) compared to the last tally (July 7, 2016) except that the Republican Party dropped 9,670 members and the Peace & Freedom Party dropped 836 members.

The current percentages are: Democratic 45.21%; Republican 26.78%; American Independent 2.50%; Libertarian .66%; Green .46%; Peace & Freedom .38%; unqualified parties .61%; no party preference 23.38%.

The July 2016 percentages were: Democratic 45.10%; Republican 27.09%; American Independent 2.52%; Libertarian .64%; Green .43%; Peace & Freedom .39%; unqualified parties .54%; no party preference 23.29%. The large increase in unqualified parties seems to be caused by Nevada and Trinity Counties transferring many voters from the “no party preference” to the “other” category.

The active unqualified parties in California, the Reform and Constitution Parties, did not re-file for political body status and thus no data is available for them in the latest tally.