U.S. Supreme Court Agrees to Hear Texas Redistricting Case Next Term

On May 26, the U.S. Supreme Court said it will hear Evenwel v Abbott, 14-940, a Texas redistricting case involving the State Senate districts. The plaintiffs are voters who live in a rural State Senate district. They argue that the 14th amendment requires that redistricting be based on the number of potential voters, not the population.

The decision to hear this case is a surprise. In 1966 the U.S. Supreme Court had said Hawaii is free to base its redistricting on number of potential voters, not population. But the plaintiffs in Evenwel v Abbott argue that it is mandatory for states to use number of potential voters rather than population. If the plaintiffs win their case, probably every state’s redistricting plan would be upset.

It is likely that Justice Clarence Thomas was the force who persuaded the Court to hear Evenwel v Abbott. Earlier he had dissented from a denial of cert in a similar case. Here is a copy of the brief of the Texas government, submitted several weeks ago, explaining why the case should be rejected. Thanks to Rick Hasen for the news.

Politico Story Shows How Fox News Debate Rules for Republican Presidential Race May Change Campaign Strategy

Ever since Jimmy Carter won the Democratic presidential nomination in 1976, long-shot major party presidential candidates have concentrated on campaigning very heavily, and very early, in the states with the earliest presidential primaries and caucuses. But this Politico story suggests that Fox News’ debate rules for the August 6, 2015 Republican presidential debate may change that strategy. Only the top ten Republicans will be invited into that debate, and their standing in national polls will determine who is invited.

Therefore, a rational Republican candidate for president at this point will be more interested in raising his or her standing in national polls of Republicans, rather than concentrating solely on New Hampshire and Iowa. At least, that is the thesis of the article, which is written by Eli Stokols, who was recently hired by Politico to report on the 2016 presidential race.

Only Six More Dates for U.S. Supreme Court Decisions this Term

The U.S. Supreme Court has only six more dates on which it will release opinions, this term. They are May 26, and June 1, 8, 15, 22, and 29. The only pending election law decision is Arizona State Legislature v Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission. However, the decision in Reed v Town of Gilbert may impact election law. That case, which is also from Arizona, concerns the constitutionality of a town ordinance that severely discriminates against some types of outdoor signs. UPDATE: the U.S. Supreme Court put out three opinions on May 26, but neither of the decisions mentioned in this blog is among them.