On January 9, U.S. District Court Judge Sim Lake, a Reagan appointee, enjoined a Houston, Texas ordinance that makes it illegal for candidates to ask for, or receive, contributions earlier than February 1 of the election year. Here is the opinion in Gordon v City of Houston, 4:14cv-3146, southern district. Thanks to Rick Hasen for the link.
Arizona Representative Phil Lovas (R-Peoria) has introduced HB 2015, which would move the date of Arizona’s presidential primary to the same date on which the Iowa presidential caucuses are held.
On January 6, Georgia held special elections to fill the vacant seats in the State House, in district 50 and district 120. Georgia special elections do not involve party nominees; instead individuals run, and are free to choose any party label, whether the party is qualified or not.
Here is a link to the returns. The district 50 race was between three Republicans, a Libertarian, and an independent. The district 120 race was between five Republicans.
On January 9, the Illinois legislature passed a bill for a special statewide election in November 2016 for Comptroller. The outgoing Governor, Pat Quinn, has already asked for this bill, so it seems certain he will sign it before he leaves office.
This will mean three statewide offices will be on the November 2016 ballot in Illinois: President, U.S. Senator, and Comptroller. Any party that polls 5% for any of them will be automatically on the 2018 ballot for statewide office only.
Dave Weigel has this analysis at Bloomberg Politics on the California U.S. Senate race for 2016. Because incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer won’t run for re-election, it is likely that four or five prominent Democrats might run for the seat. The analysis says if there are two strong Republicans, it is possible the two Republicans might place first and second in the primary, eliminating all Democrats from the November ballot due to California’s top-two system.
Of course, Democrats understand this, and the party is virtually certain to pre-select no more than three leading Democratic candidates and to use every possible device to squeeze out any other prominent Democrats. This is why top-two systems actually create less competition than normal systems do for the members of the two major parties. Thanks to Thomas Jones for the link.
UPDATE: here is a second article, by Jonathan Bernstein, making many of the same points. The title of this article is “California Faces Insane Senate Race in 2016.”
