No Republican Enjoys As Much as 30% Among Republican Primary Voters

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll released on June 13 shows that no Republican enjoys support from as much as 30% of the voters who plan to vote in Republican presidential primaries. The poll, based on 1,008 voters, shows: Rudy Giuliani 29%, Fred Thompson 20%, Mitt Romney 14%, John McCain 14%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Ron Paul 2%, Tommy Thompson 2%, Sam Brownback 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Duncan Hunter 1%, Tom Tancredo 1%, other or undecided 12%.

It is quite possible that the Republican National Convention itself will make the meaningful decision as to who the Republican presidential nominee will be. That would make for a very short general election campaign, since that convention is not until September 1-4, 2008.

The same poll also polled Democrats, but that field is not so split, since Hillary Clinton enjoys 39%.

Michigan Democrats Threaten to Hold Caucus in January 2008 or even December 2007

On June 13, the Michigan Democratic Party threatened to hold its presidential caucus in Jnaury 2008, or even earlier. This is in response to the Florida Democratic Party’s decision a few days ago to choose delegates in the Florida January 29 primary. Thanks to Tony Roza for this news. It is still possible the Michigan Democratic Party will use a presidential primary (the state will hold one for the Republicans in February).

Prohibition Party

The faction of the Prohibition Party that recognizes Earl Dodge as national chairman held its national presidential convention on June 12 in Arvada, Colorado, at a church. Delegates from three states were in attendance. The convention chose Earl Dodge for president and Howard Lydick for vice-president.

Status of Pending Lawsuits Filed by Minor Parties, Independents

Many interesting lawsuits are pending, although courts have been unusually slow recently.

Alabama: we are awaiting a decision from the 11th circuit on the constitutionality of Alabama’s 3% petition in combination with the early June petition deadline. The hearing was March 20, 2007.

Arizona: soon the 9th circuit will set a hearing date in a challenge to state law that makes it illegal for out-of-staters to circulate a petition for an independent presidential candidate, and a challenge to the early June petition deadline for such petitions.

Arizona (2): we have been waiting for a decision from the U.S. District Court since 2004, on the issue of whether a qualified minor party may limit its primary only to its own members.

Connecticut: we are awaiting a decision as to whether there will be a trial, over the state’s discriminatory public funding law.

Hawaii: we are awaiting a decision from the State Supreme Court over whether the state’s procedures for checking signatures violate due process. When that case is settled, then a federal court will determine whether it is unconstitutional for the state to require 6 times as many signatures for an independent presidential candidate, as it requires for a new party.

Iowa: we are awaiting a settlement hearing in the case over whether voters may register into unqualified parties.

New Jersey: we are awaiting a likely settlement of the case that challenges many election laws that discriminate against unqualified parties.

New Mexico: we are waiting for the 10th circuit to set a date for a hearing in the challenge to a state law that requires qualified minor parties to submit a separate petition for each of its nominees.

New York: we are waiting for the U.S. Supreme Court to set a hearing date in a case over how difficult ballot access can be for a primary election.

North Carolina: briefs are being filed in the case filed in 2005 over ballot access (and related issues) for new and minor parties.

Oregon: we are waiting for a hearing date in a case that challenges the law that makes it illegal for primary voters to sign for an independent candidate.

Pennsylvania: a brief is about to be filed with the U.S. Supreme Court in the case over whether qualified parties that have less than 15% of the state’s registration should be treated as though they aren’t qualified parties, for ballot access purposes.

Pennsylvania (2): briefs are being filed in the State Supreme Court over whether a candidate with limited resources can be charged $90,000 for being removed from the ballot.

Washington: we are waiting for the U.S. Supreme Court to set a date for the hearing over the constitutionality of “top-two” primaries.

National regulation: the lawsuit over whether interior postal sidewalks should be open for petitioning is still in the U.S. District Court. Plans are almost finalized by which both sides will present additional evidence.

Former Puerto Rico Governor Also Lodges Claim for Puerto Rico Voting Rights Before OAS

Pedro Rossello, a former Governor of Puerto Rico, has brought his own voting rights case to the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights, part of the Organization of American States. It is Rossello v United States, no. P-1105-06. Like the Igartua challenge mentioned in an earlier blog entry, the complaint charges the United States with violating the OAS Charter for depriving U.S. adult citizens living in Puerto Rico of their vote for president. Thanks to Michael Richardson for this news.