Maryland Gubernatorial Poll

On August 23, nMessage and the Maryland Republican Party released this gubernatorial poll: Democrat Anthony Brown 42%; Republican Larry Hogan, Jr., 41%; Libertarian Shawn Quinn 3%, undecided 14%.

When undecided respondents are asked if they lean to any particular candidate, the results are: Democratic 45%, Republican 42%; Libertarian 4%; undecided 9%. Here is a Baltimore Sun story about Quinn.

There are only three candidates on the ballot. The Green Party is ballot-qualified but chose not to run anyone for Governor. If Quinn gets at least 1%, the Libertarian Party will remain on the ballot for the 2016 election. No minor party nominee for Maryland Governor has polled as much as 1% since 1970, when the American Party received 1.97%. The only offices that count for retention are President and Governor. The Green Party is already circulating its 2016 party petition in Maryland. Thanks to PoliticalWire for the link.

Illinois Herald Story Gives More Details About Republican Party Intimidation Against Signers of Libertarian Petition

This Illinois Herald story gives interesting details about how Republicans tried to persuade signers of the Illinois Libertarian statewide slate petition to remove or disavow their signatures, and how some of the petitioners themselves were threatened. The Illinois Herald is an on-line weekly newspaper published in Chicago by Mark Wachtler. Thanks to Independent Political Report for the link.

Former Republican Congressional Nominee Qualifies as Independent Candidate for Connecticut Governor

Joe Visconti, an independent candidate for Governor of Connecticut, has qualified for the ballot. See this story, which says that the Secretary of State has determined that he has at least 7,500 valid signatures. In 2008 he was the Republican nominee for U.S. House in the First District. This year, his ballot label will be “petitioning candidate”, which is Connecticut’s ballot label for independent candidates. Even if he gets over 1% of the vote, his vote will not establish a party that is ballot-qualified for future gubernatorial races.

Visconti is the only statewide candidate who has qualified by petition in Connecticut so far this year. The only other statewide candidate who even tried is Jonathan Pelto, also running for Governor, but his petition is likely to fall short. Thanks to Timothy McKee for this news.

Tenth Circuit Hears Kansas-Arizona Case on Federal Voter Registration Forms on Monday, August 25

The Tenth Circuit will hear oral arguments in Kobach v U.S. Election Assistance Commission, 14-3062, on Monday, August 25, according to this New York Times story. This is the case on whether Kansas and Arizona can alter the federal voter registration postcard form, to require documents to be attached that prove the applicant is a citizen.

Hearing Set in New Jersey Ballot Column Headings Case

A Superior Court in Mercer County, New Jersey, will hear oral arguments in D-R Organization of New Jersey v Guadagno, 2-1829-14, on Wednesday, September 10, at 11 a.m., in Trenton. The issue is whether New Jersey election officials should eliminate party column headings for the Democratic and Republican Party on the November 4 ballots.

The Defendant election officials are ordered to explain why the court should not find that “in calculating the 10% threshold in N.J.S.A. 19:5-1 the election official defendants may only count each voter who appeared and participated at the June 3, 2014 Regular Primary Elections and Special Primary Elections ‘once’ or as ‘1’ toward the numeric threshold of 372,197.” The Defendants are also ordered to explain why the court shouldn’t declare “that with the correct application of the 10% conditional caveat threshold in N.J.S.A. 19:5-1, that neither defendant Republican Party nor defendant Democratic Party is entitled to preferential ballot placement or a ‘separate party column.'”

New Jersey law, section 19:5-1, says, “No political party which fails to poll at any primary election for a general election at least 10% of the votes cast in the State for members of the General Assembly at the next preceding general election, held for the election of all of the members of the General Assembly, shall be entitled to have a party column on the official ballot at the general election for which the primary election has been held.” The state has already calculated that only 240,749 voters voted in the Democratic June 2014 primary, and only 175,316 voted in the Republican primary. In November 2013, the last time the state voted for members of the General Assembly, there were 2,120,866 votes cast for Governor, and approximately twice as many votes cast for Assembly, since each voter is asked to vote for two candidates, and each party runs two nominees in each district.

All candidates whose names are on the ballot for U.S. House this year have been notified of this hearing, because they are considered to be ‘interested parties.”

If the plaintiffs win this case, the normal New Jersey general election ballot will be altered. The normal ballot has a column for Democratic nominees, with a label in large letters at the top reading “Democratic”; and similar treatment for Republicans. Then, all other candidates are put in a single column, or multiple columns, headed by “Nomination by Petition.” Thanks to Len Marshall for the news.

The New Jersey legislature was in a special session July 31-August 4, and in theory the Governor could call another special session so that the legislature could repeal 19:5-1, which seems to have no purpose whatsoever.