Massachusetts Gubernatorial Poll

On July 3, WBUR released a poll for the Massachusetts gubernatorial race. The major party primaries are not until September 9, and both major parties have contested primaries. The poll takes account of each possible combination of major party nominee. The most likely scenario is that Martha Coakley will be the Democratic nominee and Charlie Baker will be the Republican nominee. Presuming that set of major party nominees, the results are: Democratic Coakley 41%, Republican Baker 28%, United Independent Party nominee Evan Falchuk 2%, independent Jeff McCormick 2%, independent Scott Lively 1%, another candidate 2%, wouldn’t vote 2%, undecided 20%. Thanks to PoliticalWire for the link.

New Jersey Voters Who Want to End Government Funding of Partisan Primaries File Opening Brief

On July 3, the New Jersey voters who wish to vote in Democratic or Republican primaries, but who do not wish to be listed as members of those parties, even for one day, filed their brief in Opposition to Defendant’s Motions to Dismiss. The case is Balsam v Guadagno, U.S. District Court, 14-cv-1388.

The brief argues that it is unconstitutional for New Jersey, or any state, to spend money on partisan primaries, unless all voters are able to vote in those primaries, regardless of their affiliation or non-affiliation with those parties. The theory behind the brief would permit a state to hold a classic open primary, and 18 states do have open primaries. In an open primary, any voter is free to choose any party’s primary ballot, and voter registration forms do not ask applicants to choose a party or to choose independent status. Most southern states have open primaries.

The theory behind the brief would also permit semi-closed primaries, as long as the independent voter who chose a partisan primary ballot did not need to list himself or herself as a party member, even for a few minutes. The semi-closed primary used in California between 2001 and 2010 would satisfy the objections of the plaintiffs, because in California, independents who requested a partisan primary ballot were never deemed to be members of that party, even for one minute. By contrast, in New Jersey, an independent who requests a major party primary is then listed as a party member, but that voter is free to immediately dis-affiliate after casting the primary vote.

The brief discusses the top-two system used in California and Washington, but it erroneously says that the U.S. Supreme Court upheld top-two systems. The U.S. Supreme Court has only upheld top-two systems against the argument that they violate freedom of association. The U.S. Supreme Court has not settled the issue of whether they violate the rights of voters in general elections. See footnote eleven of Washington State Grange v Washington State Republican Party, 552 U.S. 442 (2008). The brief also erroneously says that the top-two system in California was created by an initiative; actually the legislature put it on the ballot.

Virginia Sued Over Discriminatory Order of Candidates on the Ballot

On July 2, some Libertarian Party candidates, and an independent candidate, filed a federal lawsuit against the Virginia law that always puts the Democratic and Republican nominees on the ballot on the top-most position. Sarvis v Judd, eastern district, 3:14cv-479. Here is a copy of the 17-page Complaint.

The case is assigned to U.S. District Court Judge Robert Payne, who has an excellent record on cases involving minor parties and independent candidates. See his dissent in Fishbeck v Hechler, 85 F.3d 162 (4th circuit, 1996). In that case, while sitting on a Circuit Court panel, he dissented when the other two judges upheld West Virginia ballot access laws in a Libertarian Party challenge to the May petition deadline for non-presidential candidates.

North Carolina Trial Over 2013 Election Law Changes Starts on July 7

U.S. District Court Judge Thomas Schroeder will preside over a trial that starts on July 7 and is expected to last all week, in the lawsuits filed against voting rights restrictions passed by the 2013 session of the North Carolina legislature. One of those cases is North Carolina NAACP v McCrory; another was filed by the North Carolina League of Women Voters; a third was filed by the federal government. The trial will be in Winston-Salem.

See this story
about the confusion caused by the 2013 legislature’s action in repealing the law that had permitted 17-year-olds to register in advance of their 18th birthday. The story also has some details about the upcoming trial.

Arkansas Ballot Access Case Begins to Progress

Back on February 6, 2014, several independent candidates filed a lawsuit against the petition deadline for independent candidates. The case has been inactive, but now U.S. District Court Judge James M. Moody has set a conference on the case for July 15, and a possible trial on July 27. The case is Moore v Martin, eastern district, 4:14cv-65.

The Arkansas petition deadline for non-presidential independent candidates is March 3. It had been in May, but the 2013 session of the legislature moved it to March, even though similar independent candidate petition deadlines in Arkansas had been held unconstitutional three times before, in 1974, 1976, and 1988. The 1976 decision was summarily affirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court.