Chuck Todd, host of “Meet the Press”, said on Sunday, July 5, that he is surprised no strong presidential candidate has emerged who is running outside the two major parties.
Historically, such candidates don’t emerge until the election year itself. Theodore Roosevelt didn’t decide to organize his Progressive Party until June 1912, after Roosevelt had been defeated for the Republican presidential nomination. Robert La Follette didn’t announce as an independent progressive candidate until July 4, 1924, after it became apparent the Democratic national convention wouldn’t nominate a progressive. Strom Thurmond didn’t launch his States Rights campaign for the presidency until July 1948, after the Democratic national convention had voted to add a civil rights plank. Ross Perot didn’t even hint that he would be an independent candidate for president until February 20, 1992, the night he said on Larry King’s interview show that he would run as an independent only if his supporters successfully petitioned to get his name on the ballot in all 50 states.
The U.S. Supreme Court decision Anderson v Celebrezze took note of the nation’s history to justify striking down early petition deadlines for independent and new political parties. The reason strong presidential candidates don’t emerge until the election year is that everyone is waiting to see who the major parties will nominate, and at this point no one can predict the Republican nominee, and even the Democratic nominee is not certain to be Hillary Clinton. Thanks to Presidential Debate News for the link.