Politico Story Shows How Fox News Debate Rules for Republican Presidential Race May Change Campaign Strategy

Ever since Jimmy Carter won the Democratic presidential nomination in 1976, long-shot major party presidential candidates have concentrated on campaigning very heavily, and very early, in the states with the earliest presidential primaries and caucuses. But this Politico story suggests that Fox News’ debate rules for the August 6, 2015 Republican presidential debate may change that strategy. Only the top ten Republicans will be invited into that debate, and their standing in national polls will determine who is invited.

Therefore, a rational Republican candidate for president at this point will be more interested in raising his or her standing in national polls of Republicans, rather than concentrating solely on New Hampshire and Iowa. At least, that is the thesis of the article, which is written by Eli Stokols, who was recently hired by Politico to report on the 2016 presidential race.

Only Six More Dates for U.S. Supreme Court Decisions this Term

The U.S. Supreme Court has only six more dates on which it will release opinions, this term. They are May 26, and June 1, 8, 15, 22, and 29. The only pending election law decision is Arizona State Legislature v Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission. However, the decision in Reed v Town of Gilbert may impact election law. That case, which is also from Arizona, concerns the constitutionality of a town ordinance that severely discriminates against some types of outdoor signs. UPDATE: the U.S. Supreme Court put out three opinions on May 26, but neither of the decisions mentioned in this blog is among them.

Dallas Morning News Story Suggests Upcoming Fox Republican Presidential Debate Could Provide Basis for Court Case Over Natural Born Requirement

This Dallas Morning News story raises the idea that the upcoming August 6, 2015 Republican presidential debate could provide a means for a court challenge over the meaning of Article II’s “natural born citizen” requirement for President. If Fox is limiting the debate to the top ten Republicans, and Ted Cruz is one of those ten, the article says conceivably whoever is eleventh might have standing to contest whether Cruz qualifies. Thanks to Bill Van Allen for the link.