Libertarian Registration Increased 11.4% Between November 2012 and March 2014

The number of registered voters in the United States, in the 30 states (plus D.C.) that have registration by party, declined by 1,516,272 between November 2012 and March 2014. Nevertheless, during this period Libertarian registration in those states increased 11.4%. The registration total for all other nationally-organized parties declined during that period. The number of voters who are independent or who are registered in miscellaneous parties increased .7% during that period.

The April 1, 2014 printed Ballot Access News will include a chart showing the number of voters in each party, and the number registered as independents or in miscellaneous designations, by state. All of the data is from January, February, or March 2014, except that data from New York, Connecticut, and Pennsylvania is not available for 2014, so it is from 2013.

California Republican Mayor who Won Fax Case Still Fails to Get on Ballot

John Mirisch, who wants to be on the ballot for California State Senate, 26th district, appears to have failed to qualify. He needed 40 valid signatures and only has 38. See this story. Earlier Mirisch had won a Superior Court order saying his declaration of candidacy is valid, even though it was faxed.

Mirisch would have been the only Republican in the race. He could still file as a write-in. He is the Mayor of Beverly Hills. UPDATE: on March 26, a Superior Court ruled that Mirisch can’t be on the ballot because three of the signers did not personally write their address on the petition. Instead, the spouse of the signers filled in the address. See this story.

New York Poll Shows Working Families Party Would Poll Large Vote if it Ran its own Gubernatorial Candidate

A New York gubernatorial election poll conducted by David Binder Research shows that if the Working Families Party ran its own nominee for Governor of New York this year, the party would poll between 6% and 13%, depending on who its nominee was. Its best showing, 13%, is if New York City’s Public Advocate, Letitia James, was the WFP nominee. See this story.

No New Parties Expected to Qualify in Texas This Year

Texas has four ballot-qualified parties: Republican, Democratic, Libertarian, Green. This year it is not expected that any newly-qualifying parties will join them. The only party that had been thought to have the resources to surmount the difficult petition was the 1787 Party founded by Emily Mathews. However, the 1787 Party has decided not to try to petition this year in Texas or any other state, and instead to save its resources for getting on the ballot in all states in 2016.

California Secretary of State Posts Tentative List of Candidates for June 2014 Primary

The California Secretary of State’s web page has a tentative list of candidates for the June 3, 2014 primary for Congress and state office. The final list will be released March 27 and will probably have a handful of additional candidates listed, after disputes over the sufficiency of their petitions is resolved.

For the partisan offices, there are 560 candidates. When these same offices were up in 2010, under the semi-closed primary, there were 654 candidates (that 2010 total does not include the fourteen candidates who ran for U.S. Senate in 2010; there is no U.S. Senate election in California in 2014, so omitting U.S. Senate from the 2010 total makes the comparison fairer). It thus appears that California’s switch from a semi-closed primary to a top-two primary has caused a 14% drop in the number of candidates who filed to be on the ballot, when the two gubernatorial election years are compared with each other.

At the 2014 primary, there are 2 U.S. House races with only one candidate, 3 State Senate races with only one candidate, 14 Assembly races with only one candidate, and one State Board of Equalization district with only one candidate. In those twenty races, there are opportunities for candidates to file as write-in candidates in the June primary, and to have some chance of placing second and qualifying to be on the November ballot. In races like that with only one write-in candidate, obviously that write-in candidate will come in second and will be on the November ballot. But there are likely to be multiple write-in candidates in most of those races. Thanks to Jim Riley for the link.