Senator Lisa Murkowski Weighing Write-in Campaign

U.S. Senator Lisa Murkowski is considering whether to be a write-in candidate for re-election in November.  See this story.  Contrary to other published reports, this article correctly notes that voters need not spell “Murkowski” perfectly.  Alaska, and almost all other states, use the “voter intent” standard to determine whether a write-in should count.

Murkowski would also have an advantage over write-in candidates in most other states, because all of Alaska’s vote-counting equipment is uniform across the state.  Any serious write-in candidate for statewide office always needs to advertise, to explain to voters how to cast a write-in vote, but that job is much simpler when the ballot looks the same everywhere in that state.

The largest write-in vote cast for a U.S. Senate general election in Alaska was in 1968, when incumbent U.S. Senator Ernest Gruening lost the Democratic primary but carried on as a write-in in the November election.  The vote in that election was:  Mike Gravel, Democratic nominee, 36,527; Elmer Rasmuson, Republican nominee, 30,286; Gruening, write-in, 14,118 (17.4%).  Alaskans also cast substantial numbers of write-in votes in November 1998 in the gubernatorial race.  The vote in that election was:  Tony Knowles, Democrat, 112,879; John Lindauer, Republican, 39,331; Ray Metcalfe, Republican Moderate Party, 13,540; Erica Jacobsson, Green, 6,618; Sylvia Sullivan, Alaskan Independence, 4,238; and 43,571 scattered write-ins, most for Robin Taylor.

Alaskan Independence Party Still Needs a Lieutenant Governor Nominee

On September 7, the Alaskan Independence Party pick for Lieutenant Governor, Norm Olson, withdrew.  He said he was only interested in running for Lieutenant Governor with Bill Walker, who had last month lost the Republican gubernatorial primary.  Because the Alaskan Independence Party decided to stick with its original gubernatorial candidate (Don Wright), Olson is declining.  The party has until September 15 to find someone else.  See this story.

How Polls Sometimes Produce Inaccurate Results: a Texas Example

Recently, Hill Research Consultants released a poll of the Texas gubernatorial race.  See the poll questions here, especially question 3, which asks respondents who they favor in that race.  The pollster is instructed to ask the respondent if he or she favors Rick Perry, Republican, or Bill White, Democrat.  The instructions say “DO NOT READ” any other choices, but if the respondent nevertheless mentions the Libertarian Party nominee, or the Green Party nominee (both of whom are on the ballot), that unsolicited information is then recorded, but only into a single category.  Not surprisingly, 17% of the respondents either refuse to answer the question, or say, “Neither”, or say they are undecided.  The Libertarian Party nominee is Katherine Glass; the Green nominee is Deb Shafto.

Arizona Green Party Files Lawsuit to Remove “Stranger” Nominees from November Ballot

On September 7, the Arizona Green Party filed a lawsuit in federal court to require the Secretary of State to remove the names of certain Green Party nominees from the November ballot.  These nominees are people who won the Arizona Green Party primary last month, even though they have no connection with the party leadership or party activists.  The evidence seems clear that various Republicans persuaded them to file as declared write-in candidates in the Green Party primary, on the last day for filing as a declared write-in in the primary.  Because Green Party activists didn’t know about these candidacies, they were unable to counter them with rival candidates for the same office.  Here is the Complaint and here is the motion for a temporary restraining order.

The case is Arizona Green Party v Bennett, cv10-1902.  Because the Secretary of State would like the counties to print their ballots starting September 9, this case is moving very quickly and could conceivably be decided on September 8 or September 9.  UPDATE:  the case has a hearing at 1 p.m. on September 9.  The case is assigned to U.S. District Court Judge David Campbell, a Bush Jr. appointee.