In 2010, No Political Party Received a Majority of Votes, When One Looks at Top Office on Ballot

Preliminary election returns show these national totals for each party, in the November 2010 election, for the office at the top of the ballot.  “Office at the top of the ballot” means Governor.  If a state had no gubernatorial election, it means U.S. Senate.  For the four states that had neither a gubernatorial nor a U.S. Senate election, it means U.S. House of Representatives.

The 2010 results are:  Republican 49.1%; Democratic 45.6%; independent candidates 1.2%; Libertarian 1.1%; Constitution 1.0%; Green .6%; all other parties 1.4%.

By comparison, the 2006 results for the office at the top of the ballot were:  Democratic 49.3%; Republican 45.7%; independent candidates 2.2%; Green 1.2%; Libertarian 1.0%; Constitution .2%; other parties .4%.

Campaign Finance Institute Releases Analysis of 2010 Campaign Spending for Congress; Concludes Winning Candidates Raised Less than Losers in Competitive Races

On November 5, the Campaign Finance Institute released an analysis of campaign spending in 2010 congressional races.  The report says winning candidates raised less money than losers did, in competitive races.  See the press release, and links to the report itself, here.

9th Circuit Hears Montana Ballot Access Case

On November 5, the 9th circuit heard oral arguments in Kelly v McCullough, 10-35174, the lawsuit filed in 2008 against Montana’s March petition deadline for independent candidates (for office other than president).  The U.S. District Court had refused to decide the case, holding that the plaintiffs lack standing.  The 9th circuit panel consisted of Judges William Fletcher, Raymond Fisher, and a visiting judge from Virginia, James P. Jones.  The panel spent more time asking questions about standing than about the merits of the case.  It seems somewhat likely that they will determine that the plaintiffs do have standing, and then they will send the case back to the U.S. District Court to reach the main election law issues.

Minor Party Presidential Ballot Status, Compared to Four Years Ago at this Point

The Libertarian Party now has an automatic spot on the 2012 presidential ballot in 26 states.  If it meets the vote tests in New York and/or Utah, that will go up to either 27 or 28.  Four years ago at this time, the Libertarian Party had presidential ballot status in 24 states.  The changes relative to mid-November 2006, and now, are:  gains in Nebraska, North Carolina, and Ohio; and a loss in Wisconsin.

The Green Party now has an automatic spot on the 2012 presidential ballot in 14 states.  Four years ago at this time, the Green Party had it in 18 states.  The changes relative to mid-November 2006, and now, are:  gains in New York, Ohio, Texas, and West Virginia; and losses in Delaware, Illinois, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Vermont, and Wisconsin.

The Constitution Party now has an automatic spot on the 2012 presidential ballot in 12 states.  Four years ago at this time, the Constitution Party had it in 13 states.  Changes are:  gains in Missouri, Ohio, and Wisconsin; and losses in California, Delaware, Montana, and Nebraska.

Parties with the name “Independent Party”, “Independence Party”, “Moderate Party”, “Reform Party”, or “Natural Law Party” are ballot-qualified for president in 2012 in these 13 states:  Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, and South Carolina.  This does not mean that these 13 state parties are necessarily associated with each other.  They are all parties without a fixed ideology.  The New Mexico Independent Party is still ballot-qualified for president because it met the vote test of one-half of 1% for President in 2008, and New Mexico gives parties that meet the vote test two elections.  However, the New Mexico Independent Party appears to be defunct.  The others are all functioning and had candidates on ballots in 2010.