In 2004, Libertarian presidential nominee Michael Badnarik was on the ballot in states containing 98.2% of the presidential vote. In the states in which he was on the ballot, he received .330% of the total vote cast for president.
In 2008, Libertarian presidential nominee Bob Barr was on the ballot in states containing 94.8% of the presidential vote. In those states, he received .421% of the total vote cast for president.
In 2004, Ralph Nader was on the ballot in jurisdictions containing 50.8% of the national presidential vote cast that year. In those jurisdictions, he polled .67% of the total presidential vote cast in those places.
In 2008, Nader was on the ballot in jurisdictions containing 84.4% of the national presidential vote cast that year. In those jurisdictions, he received .66% of the total presidential vote cast in those places.
His popular vote in 2008 of 738,622 is considerably better than his 2004 vote of 465,650. But, one can say that the improvement was entirely due to his more successful ballot access efforts in 2008, compared to 2004. When one controls for that, his support was virtually unchanged.
Nader’s best state in 2004 was Alaska. In 2008 his best state was Maine.
On December 18, the 10th circuit struck down Oklahoma’s ban on out-of-state circulators for initiatives. Yes on Term Limits v Savage, no. 07-6233. The decision is here. It is 16 pages long and says that there is no strong evidence that out-of-state circulators are more likely to engage in fraud than in-state circulators. Also it says that if Oklahoma needs to question circulators after the petition has been submitted, the state is free to pass a law saying that circulators must agree to return for questioning.
There are now four circuits that have invalidated bans on out-of-state circulators (the 6th, 7th, 9th and 10th), and only one circuit, the 8th, that has upheld them. Furthermore, the 8th circuit decision was from North Dakota, a state that has no voter registration, and therefore the 8th circuit decision can be said not to apply to the other 49 states that do have voter registration.
This decision is good news for Paul Jacob and his associates, who have been in jeopardy of a criminal prosecution for conspiring to bring out-of-state circulators into Oklahoma.
Every state has finished compiling the votes cast for president, for the candidates who were on the ballot. Some states are still working on their write-in tallies. In six states, fewer votes were cast for president in 2008 than in 2004. They are Maine, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
Overall, according to Curtis Gans, turnout in the U.S. was 63.0%. Gans calculates that 208,323,000 people could have voted if they had wished, although of course that would have meant that they needed to register. Gans calculates that 131,257,542 votes were cast for president, which yields the 63.0% figure. Gans calculates 60.6% for 2004, and 54.2% for 2000. This suggests that 2008 did not have a huge improvement in turnout. The 2004 gain in turnout (compared to 2000) was more dramatic than the 2008 turnout gain.
Curtis Gans has been working on turnout data for many decades, and is associated with American University.
On December 16, California Assemblymember Charles Calderon introduced ACA 6, a proposed state constitutional amendment. It would provide for non-partisan elections for state legislature and the state executive elected posts. All candidates for a particular office would run in the primary, and if anyone polled 50%, that person would be elected.
The only difference between state office elections (under ACA 6) and California’s present elections for county and city office, would be that the ballot for state office would include the party of registration for each candidate. However, a party is free to issue a blanket rule that its name should never appear on the ballot for state office.
Since this is only a proposed Constitutional Amendment, and not a bill, many details aren’t specified, such as whether a candidate registered into an unqualified party could have that party label next to his or her name.
